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战略情报预警预测智能化方法发展

刘鑫 王侃 戴礼灿 曹开臣 王良刚

现代防御技术2025,Vol.53Issue(4):36-49,14.
现代防御技术2025,Vol.53Issue(4):36-49,14.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1009-086x.2025.04.005

战略情报预警预测智能化方法发展

Intelligent Method Development of Strategic Intelligence Warning and Prediction

刘鑫 1王侃 1戴礼灿 1曹开臣 1王良刚1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国西南电子技术研究所,四川 成都 610036
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This work discusses the connotations of related concepts and the evolution process in the field of strategic intelligence warning and prediction.In consideration of national and military conditions,a brand new definition of strategic intelligence warning and prediction is proposed.Specific to the requirements and characteristics,a basic process and intelligent methodology of strategic intelligence warning and prediction activity are proposed.This work summarizes the core ideas of different intelligent methods,introduces the main available technologies and models,which are useful in guiding and providing reference to strategic intelligence researchers in terms of tool selection and approaches formulation.Cognitive driven methods have distinct advantages in interpretability and interactivity,while data driven methods are suitable for large-scale processing.Toachieve optimal performance in strategic intelligence warning and prediction targets,the two methodologies should be used in combination.These intelligent methods need to be improved to solve the key problems of man-machine cognitive difference,multi-granularity knowledge fusing,hidden clue recognition and evidence confirming,to improve the comprehensive,accuracy and reliability.

关键词

战略情报/预警预测概念/预警预测流程/智能化方法/求解框架

Key words

strategic intelligence/warning and prediction conception/warning and prediction process/intelligent methodology/solution framework

分类

军事科技

引用本文复制引用

刘鑫,王侃,戴礼灿,曹开臣,王良刚..战略情报预警预测智能化方法发展[J].现代防御技术,2025,53(4):36-49,14.

现代防御技术

OA北大核心

1009-086X

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