中国工程科学2025，Vol.27Issue(4)：13-27,15.DOI:10.15302/J-SSCAE-2025.07.023
我国城市安全韧性发展现状与技术发展方向展望
Development Status and Technological Prospects of Urban Safety Resilience in China
摘要
Abstract
Currently,global climate change is intensifying,extreme natural disasters occur frequently,and the corresponding impacts exhibit characteristics of cross-domain and cross-regional systemic risks,posing new and significant challenges to urban safety governance.Therefore,it is urgently needed to assess the current status and development trends of systemic risk prevention and control and safety resilience construction in cities of China,and to construct a future-oriented technological development framework.The study analyzes major challenges regarding resilient urban governance in China from four dimensions:management decision-making,grassroots implementation,social collaboration,and critical regions.Moreover,it reviews the current theoretical research on urban safety resilience and the progress of technology application in China,and then clarifies the key areas for technological breakthroughs.A decision-making model that integrates emergency management and business continuity management is also proposed,supporting the construction of a resilient technology path that involves three dimensions:perception,cognition,and decision-making.Furthermore,the study proposes the leading directions for promoting the construction of resilient cities in China:application of artificial intelligence and unmanned equipment,development driven by digital twin,sustainable development promotion,integration of technology and management,and cross-disciplinary collaborative innovation.These directions are expected to provide a theoretical basis and technical guidance for enhancing disaster prevention and control capabilities,strengthening system resilience,and ensuring safe operation of cities.关键词
城市安全韧性/系统性风险防控/防灾减灾/数字孪生/智能决策Key words
urban safety resilience/systemic risk prevention and control/disaster prevention and mitigation/digital twin/intelligent decision-making分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
刘奕,张辉,王晶鑫,刘洋,郝彧露,范维澄..我国城市安全韧性发展现状与技术发展方向展望[J].中国工程科学,2025,27(4):13-27,15.基金项目
国家重点研发计划项目(2024YFC3017000) （2024YFC3017000）
中国工程院咨询项目"极端灾害下城市与社会系统安全韧性技术发展战略研究"(2024-XBZD-21) （2024-XBZD-21）
国家自然科学基金项目(72334003) National Key R&D Program of China(2024YFC3017 000) （72334003）
Chinese Academy of Engineering project"Research on the Development Strategy of Safety and Resilience Technologies for Urban and Social Systems under Extreme Disasters"(2024-XBZD-21) （2024-XBZD-21）
National Natural Science Fund of Project(72334003) （72334003）
