中国工程科学2025,Vol.27Issue(4):55-70,16.DOI:10.15302/J-SSCAE-2025.07.021
城市基础设施安全韧性技术研究进展与发展趋势
Safety and Resilience Technologies for Urban Infrastructure:Current Progress and Future Trends
摘要
Abstract
Amid increasingly frequent extreme natural disasters,highly interconnected urban systems,and mounting operational pressures,enhancing the safety and resilience of urban infrastructure has become a vital strategy for safeguarding national security and advancing sustainable development.However,a significant gap persists between the current state of resilience-related technologies and the practical demands of building resilient cities,highlighting the urgent need for a systematic review of relevant technical systems and recent research progress.This study analyzes the current state and future development trends of urban infrastructure resilience technologies across five key domains:natural disaster forecasting and early warning,infrastructure vulnerability and risk assessment,functionality degradation and resilience evaluation,resilience enhancement and design,and emergency response and decision-making optimization.The study finds that while resilience-based disaster prevention has shifted the focus of infrastructure safety from structural robustness to system-level functionality and post-disaster recovery,and intelligent disaster prevention has greatly enhanced the efficiency and accuracy of disaster sensing,forecasting,and emergency response,several major challenges persist.These challenges include the absence of unified standards for resilience technologies,insufficient multi-hazard joint modeling,weak cross-system coordination,poor generalization and interpretability of intelligent models,and limited transparency in decision-making processes.Looking ahead,a key development trend will involve building a unified theoretical framework and standardized system for infrastructure safety and resilience.This should be supported by an intelligent technology system characterized by data empowerment,language-driven interaction,and cognitive reasoning,facilitating multi-source data fusion,cross-modal knowledge transfer,multi-hazard joint assessment,system-level coordination,and high interpretability with transparent mechanisms.Furthermore,the study offers development recommendations from the aspects of institutional support,intelligent enablement and resource allocation,as well as technical standardization,aiming to provide theoretical foundations and practical guidance for systematically enhancing urban infrastructure resilience in China.关键词
极端自然灾害/城市基础设施/安全韧性/功能与恢复/人工智能Key words
extreme nature disasters/urban infrastructure/safety and resilience/functionality and recovery/artificial intelligence分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
崔佳伟,曾滨,翟长海,徐曼,刘琎..城市基础设施安全韧性技术研究进展与发展趋势[J].中国工程科学,2025,27(4):55-70,16.基金项目
中国工程院咨询项目"极端灾害下城市与社会系统安全韧性技术发展战略研究"(2024-XBZD-21) (2024-XBZD-21)
国家自然科学基金项目(52494963) Chinese Academy of Engineering project"Research on the Development Strategy of Safety and Resilience Technologies for Urban and Social Systems under Extreme Disasters"(2024-XBZD-21) (52494963)
National Natural Science Fund Project(52494963) (52494963)