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基于城市安全"风险源-承灾体-减灾力"理论的城市新型风险分类研究

崔文惠 周毅 许镇 刘雪敏 岳清瑞 施钟淇 杨晓春 周琳 杨梓 蔡博文 岳一

中国工程科学2025,Vol.27Issue(4):71-81,11.
中国工程科学2025,Vol.27Issue(4):71-81,11.DOI:10.15302/J-SSCAE-2025.05.005

基于城市安全"风险源-承灾体-减灾力"理论的城市新型风险分类研究

Classification of New Urban Risks Based on"Risk Source-Risk Exposure-Mitigation Force"Theoretical Framework

崔文惠 1周毅 2许镇 2刘雪敏 1岳清瑞 3施钟淇 1杨晓春 4周琳 1杨梓 1蔡博文 1岳一5

作者信息

  • 1. 深圳市城市公共安全技术研究院有限公司,广东 深圳 518024||城市安全发展科技研究院(深圳),广东 深圳 518024||城市安全风险监测预警应急管理部重点实验室,广东 深圳 518024
  • 2. 北京科技大学城镇化与城市安全研究院,北京 100083
  • 3. 深圳市城市公共安全技术研究院有限公司,广东 深圳 518024||城市安全发展科技研究院(深圳),广东 深圳 518024||城市安全风险监测预警应急管理部重点实验室,广东 深圳 518024||北京科技大学城镇化与城市安全研究院,北京 100083
  • 4. 深圳大学建筑与城市规划学院,广东 深圳 518060
  • 5. 北京师范大学国家安全与应急管理学院,北京 100088
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The ongoing technological revolution and industrial transformation not only provide robust momentum and a supportive platform for societal development,but also introduce a series of new risks to national security and urban safety governance.These new urban risks are characterized by unfamiliarity,high uncertainty,and dynamic evolution,and the research system for traditional urban risks can no longer meet the needs of new risk governance,necessitating a research paradigm and knowledge system for new urban risks.This study analyzes the conceptual evolution and research status of new urban risks in China and abroad,and examines the challenges faced in current new risk governance.Based on the"risk source-risk exposure-mitigation force"theory for urban safety,it constructs an identification and classification framework for new urban risks,and from the perspective of driving factors,proposes seven major types of new urban risks that need attention at present,namely climate change,new material,new energy,new information technology,new biomedicine,new spatial structure,and new business form risks.To address the challenges brought by these new urban risks,the study suggests strengthening top-level design to deepen theoretical research;enhancing crisis awareness to build a new risk working mechanism;promoting the coordinated evolution of technological innovation and risk governance while balancing safety and development;and improving the standards system to establish a multi-subject collaborative governance framework,thereby promoting the construction of safe and resilient cities.

关键词

新型风险/城市安全/新兴技术/现代城市治理

Key words

new risk/urban safety/emerging technology/modern urban management

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

崔文惠,周毅,许镇,刘雪敏,岳清瑞,施钟淇,杨晓春,周琳,杨梓,蔡博文,岳一..基于城市安全"风险源-承灾体-减灾力"理论的城市新型风险分类研究[J].中国工程科学,2025,27(4):71-81,11.

基金项目

中国工程院咨询项目"城市安全面临的挑战及对策"(2022-JB-02) (2022-JB-02)

国家自然科学基金项目(72242107) Chinese Academy of Engineering project"Challenges and Strategies for Urban Safety"(2022-JB-02) (72242107)

National Natural Science Fund Project(72242107) (72242107)

中国工程科学

OA北大核心

1009-1742

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