农业技术经济Issue(8)：57-79,23.
农机社会化服务何以影响农业经济韧性:理论机制与宏观证据
How Do Agricultural Machinery Socialization Services Affect Agricultural Economic Resilience:Theoretical Mechanisms and Macro Evidence
摘要
Abstract
Agricultural machinery socialization services(AMSS)are crucial for constructing a modern agricultural management system and addressing the issue of"who will farm,"thereby en-hancing agricultural economic resilience(AER).However,few researches on the mechanisms and effects of AMSS on AER.This paper empirically investigates the impact and mechanisms of AMSS on AER using provincial panel data.The study finds that AMSS significantly enhance AER.Mechanism analysis indicates that AMSS enhance AER by accelerating the substitution of machinery for manpower,improving the efficiency of labor division,and promoting the diffusion of new agricultural machinery and technologies.Additionally,the accessibility of financial capital,ag-ricultural industry advantages,and the proportion of grain cultivation significantly moderate the im-pact of AMSS on AER.In addition,the enhancement effect of AMSS on AER is stronger in the main food-producing areas and regions with less human capital,lower aging rates,and a higher share of planting industry.Further analysis reveals a significant threshold effect:when internet penetration exceeds 65.50％and the share of agricultural operating income is below 36.99％,the enhancement effect of AMSS on AER is stronger.Based on this,this paper argues that in the process of constructing a modern agricultural management system,efforts should be made to im-prove differentiated agricultural socialized service system,accelerate rural digital infrastructure de-velopment,and improve modern rural inclusive financial system.关键词
农机社会化服务/农业经济韧性/粮食安全/门槛效应Key words
Agricultural machinery socialization service/Agricultural economic resilience/Food security/Threshold effect引用本文复制引用
张恒,白秀广,赵茂..农机社会化服务何以影响农业经济韧性:理论机制与宏观证据[J].农业技术经济,2025,(8):57-79,23.基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目"农户数字能力赋能农业绿色全要素生产率增长研究"(编号:24XJY036). （编号:24XJY036）
