情报杂志2025，Vol.44Issue(10)：144-154,11.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-1965.2025.10.018
不连续创新视角下技术演进-知识流动的新兴技术识别方法
Emerging Technology Identification Through Technology Evolution and Knowledge Flow in Discontinuous Innovation Perspective
摘要
Abstract
[Research purpose]Against the backdrop of the profound restructuring of global technological competition,the identification of emerging technologies urgently requires a departure from traditional technology-oriented analytical paradigms and a shift toward research directions that integrate theory and technology.To address this,this study adopts the perspective of discontinuous innovation and proposes a novel method for identifying emerging technologies based on"technology evolution-knowledge flow".[Research method]By tracking the nonlinear trajectory of technology evolution and the characteristics of knowledge flow,this method achieves precise identification of e-merging technologies.Building on the use of the SimCSE model to generate representations of patent abstracts and calculate similarity,this study measures knowledge flow through scientific knowledge adoption.It constructs a feature system comprising three dimensions:techno-logical novelty,development potential,and scientific knowledge adoption.Various machine learning models are trained,and the optimal model is selected based on evaluation results to enable precise identification of emerging technologies.[Research result/conclusion]An empirical study in the field of drones fully validates the effectiveness of this method.It provides clear insights into the development trends of emerging technologies in the drone field.Not only does it offer scientific guidance for industrial development in China,but it also drives the transformation of emerging technology identification toward a multidimensional research paradigm that integrates theory and technology.关键词
不连续创新/新兴技术识别/技术演进/知识流动/无人机/知识采纳Key words
discontinuous innovation/emerging technology identification/technology evolution/knowledge flow/drones/knowledge a-doption分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
赵又霖,崔淦,王嘉杰,封丽,石燕青..不连续创新视角下技术演进-知识流动的新兴技术识别方法[J].情报杂志,2025,44(10):144-154,11.基金项目
中央高校基本科研业务费项目"跨平台间失真健康信息协同传播机制研究"(编号:B250207057)研究成果. （编号:B250207057）
