南水北调与水利科技（中英文）2025，Vol.23Issue(4)：770-777,8.DOI:10.13476/j.cnki.nsbdqk.2025.0078
水资源系统分析学科展望:从静态平衡到动态控制
Prospects of water resources system analysis:From static equilibrium to dynamic control
摘要
Abstract
Historically,traditional water resources planning and analysis disciplines mainly relied on simplified water balance equations.This method was considered suitable for conducting water supply and demand analyses with relatively large calculation steps.During that time,the water conservancy industry's main focus was on achieving a supply-demand balance.However,over time,the industry's emphasis shifted significantly from simply reaching supply-demand equilibrium to implementing more advanced operation and management strategies.This shift created a growing need for real-time scheduling and control in water systems.As a result,the limitations of static equilibrium methods inherent in traditional water resources system analysis began to become apparent prominently. To address these emerging challenges,this paper conducted a comprehensive analysis of the shortcomings in existing water system analysis methods,particularly in the areas of simulation and optimization.The analysis was approached from the perspective of water system cybernetics.To expand the scope of study,the boundaries of the water resources system were extended to include a broader and more inclusive range of water systems.This expanded scope covered not only river basin water systems but also cascade hydropower facilities,canal water conveyance networks,and urban water supply and drainage systems.Additionally,advanced water system control theory methods were introduced into the research framework. As a direct result of this research effort,a new research paradigm for analyzing water systems was developed.This paradigm,characterized by the sequence of"model reduction-efficient simulation-optimization solution-predictive control",was introduced specifically to help shift the discipline of water resources system analysis.The aim was to transition from the former static equilibrium approach to a more dynamic and responsive control method.Implementing this new paradigm significantly improved the ability to simulate and optimize water systems.Consequently,this enabled water systems to better handle the complex and constantly changing operational demands they face in real-world situations and scenarios. In summary,the proposed research paradigm provides a strong theoretical foundation and practical methodological guidance for enhancing the operation and management of the water conservancy industry.By shifting the research paradigm from static equilibrium to dynamic control,it is expected that the efficiency and effectiveness of water system management will be significantly improved.This innovative approach has the potential to help decision-makers make more informed and strategic choices in the face of the complex challenges in water resources management.Ultimately,it aims to play a key role in the long-term sustainable development of water resources and the overall advancement of the water conservancy industry.关键词
水资源规划与管理/水量平衡/动态特性/系统控制/线性化/积分时滞/LQR/MPCKey words
water resource planning and management/water balance/dynamic characteristics/system control/linearization/integral delay/LQR/MPC分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
雷晓辉,许慧敏,何中政,龙岩..水资源系统分析学科展望:从静态平衡到动态控制[J].南水北调与水利科技（中英文）,2025,23(4):770-777,8.基金项目
国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFC3209400 （）
2022YFC3204600) （）
