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雅江中游流域水风光蓄布局及容量配置优化研究

范志勇 原文哲 唐莉华 张一 吴川东 杨大文 吴忠 芮德繁

水力发电学报2025,Vol.44Issue(9):27-37,11.
水力发电学报2025,Vol.44Issue(9):27-37,11.DOI:10.11660/slfdxb.20250903

雅江中游流域水风光蓄布局及容量配置优化研究

Optimizing layout and capacity allocation for hydroelectric-wind-photovoltaic-pumped storage system in middle Yarlung Zangbo River basin

范志勇 1原文哲 2唐莉华 2张一 2吴川东 2杨大文 2吴忠 3芮德繁3

作者信息

  • 1. 清华大学 水利水电工程系,北京 100084||清华大学 水圈科学与水利工程全国重点实验室,北京 100084||华能西藏雅鲁藏布江水电开发投资有限公司,拉萨 850000
  • 2. 清华大学 水利水电工程系,北京 100084||清华大学 水圈科学与水利工程全国重点实验室,北京 100084
  • 3. 中国电建集团华东勘测设计研究院有限公司,杭州 311122
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In response to the challenge of capacity mismatch in the multi-energy complementary systems located in the complicated terrain areas of the plateau,this paper focuses on the optimization of capacity allocation for hydroelectric-wind-photovoltaic-pumped storage system in the study area of the middle Yarlung Zangbo River basin.We use the Ward's hierarchical clustering algorithm to the field of spatial layout optimization for wind and solar resources development,and construct a refined 8760-hour simulation framework for four-dimensional hydroelectric-wind-photovoltaic-pumped storage.This method breaks through the time resolution limitation of traditional monthly-scale planning.And to verify its applicability,we examine a study cases of the under-construction Jiexu hydropower station,and the planned Yongmu pumped storage power station within the basin.Based on high-precision meteorological data sets,fine evaluation of the wind and solar energy resources in the study area indicates the middle reaches have a development potential of 23.5 million kW for wind power and 238 million kW for solar energy.Our predictions show new energy consumption can be regulated significantly by a hydroelectric-wind-photovoltaic-pumped storage multi-energy complementary system that is based on the two power stations of Jiexu and Yongmu.Wind-solar complementarity enhances the consumption rate;the pumped-storage power stations can mitigate the volatility of wind-solar outputs and increase power grid stability.Furthermore,if considering the flexibility of the demand side,the installed capacity ratio of new energy to pumped-storage power stations would increase significantly.

关键词

新能源/风光资源评估/多能互补/容量配置

Key words

new energy/evaluation of wind and solar resources/multi-energy complementary/capacity allocation

分类

能源科技

引用本文复制引用

范志勇,原文哲,唐莉华,张一,吴川东,杨大文,吴忠,芮德繁..雅江中游流域水风光蓄布局及容量配置优化研究[J].水力发电学报,2025,44(9):27-37,11.

基金项目

水圈科学与水利工程全国重点实验室资助项目(sklhse-TD-2024-A01) (sklhse-TD-2024-A01)

水力发电学报

OA北大核心

1003-1243

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