摘要
Abstract
To address the challenge of coordinating reservoir group operations for human benefits,disaster mitigation,and ecological protection in river basins,this study introduces an externality quantification mechanism and a three-stage game framework,proposing an ecological regulation theory for reservoir groups from the perspective of the human-fish game.First,it reveals that reservoir operation and fish survival are not inherently a zero-sum game,clarifying that while maximizing human development needs,ecological negative externalities can be minimized and positive externalities maximized to achieve a synergistic win-win outcome for both humans and fish.On this basis,a three-stage game framework for ecological regulation based on externalities is proposed.Through hierarchical optimization-multi-objective foundational equilibrium,minimization of negative externalities,and maximization of positive externalities-a three-layer optimal equilibrium solution for complex game problems is achieved.Finally,key technologies for ecological regulation of reservoir groups based on the three-stage game are presented,encompassing externality assessment,refined simulation,and multi-objective scheduling.This theory aims to provide an theoretical paradigm and systematic practical pathway for reconciling human development needs with fish survival requirements,facilitating the harmonization of ecological priorities and human-centered development.关键词
人鱼博弈/三次博弈/水库群生态调控/外部性Key words
human-fish game/three-stage game/reservoir groups ecological regulation/externality分类
建筑与水利
