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中国城市群网络系统的时空演进及韧性评估

杨淋杰 程云洁

统计与决策2025,Vol.41Issue(17):35-41,7.
统计与决策2025,Vol.41Issue(17):35-41,7.DOI:10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2025.17.006

中国城市群网络系统的时空演进及韧性评估

Spatiotemporal Evolution and Resilience Assessment of China's Urban Agglomeration Network System

杨淋杰 1程云洁2

作者信息

  • 1. 新疆理工学院经济贸易与管理学院,新疆 阿克苏 843100||新疆理工学院南疆现代文明发展研究院,新疆 阿克苏 843100
  • 2. 新疆财经大学 经济学院,乌鲁木齐 830000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Enhancing the resilience of urban agglomerations is the key for regions to respond to changes in the external envi-ronment and achieve sustainable and high-quality development.This paper decomposes the multi-regional input-output table at the urban scale in China by using the value chain decomposition method,deconstructs the"dual circulation"structure of 12 urban agglomeration systems from 2012 to 2022,and constructs the"dual circulation"network of urban agglomerations.On this basis,the quasi-natural experiment-interruption simulation method is adopted to simulate the dynamic changes of the characteristics of the urban agglomeration network system under the impact of the external environment,and then evaluate the"dual circulation"re-silience level of each urban agglomeration network system.The findings are shown as the following:(1)In terms of the spatial topo-logical characteristics of urban agglomerations,the urban units within urban agglomerations usually form segmented agglomeration groups along provincial boundaries.(2)In terms of the overall network resilience of urban agglomerations,the overall network re-silience level of each urban agglomeration unit shows a continuous upward trend.(3)In terms of the network resilience of the inter-nal and external circulation subsystems of urban agglomerations,the resilience of the internal circulation subsystem is similar to that of the overall system with relatively small differences,while the resilience of the external circulation subsystem shows more significant differences.

关键词

"双循环"/城市群/韧性/空间网络

Key words

"dual circulation"/urban agglomeration/resilience/spatial network

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

杨淋杰,程云洁..中国城市群网络系统的时空演进及韧性评估[J].统计与决策,2025,41(17):35-41,7.

基金项目

国家社会科学基金资助项目(72064035 ()

24CGL071) ()

新疆维吾尔自治区普通高校人文社会科学重点研究基地资助项目(JDZD202301) (JDZD202301)

统计与决策

OA北大核心

1002-6487

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