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2000-2020年黄土高原生态系统服务价值的时空变化及驱动因素

李琳琳 王照利 郭涛 任志祥 闫琰 刘伟国

西北林学院学报2025,Vol.40Issue(5):11-23,13.
西北林学院学报2025,Vol.40Issue(5):11-23,13.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-7461.2025.05.02

2000-2020年黄土高原生态系统服务价值的时空变化及驱动因素

Spatial and Temporal Changes in the Value of Ecosystem Services and Driving Forces on the Loess Plateau,2000-2020

李琳琳 1王照利 2郭涛 1任志祥 3闫琰 4刘伟国4

作者信息

  • 1. 西北农林科技大学林学院,陕西杨凌 712100
  • 2. 国家林业和草原局西北调查规划院,陕西西安 710048
  • 3. 定边县长茂滩林场,陕西定边 718600
  • 4. 西北农林科技大学林学院,陕西杨凌 712100||陕西秦岭森林生态系统国家野外科学观测研究站,陕西杨凌 712100
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摘要

Abstract

The Loess Plateau is highly fragile,with severe soil erosion and water loss.This study assessed the ESV of the Loess Plateau in 2000,2005,2010,2015,and 2020,based on nine ecosystem types(e.g.cropland,forest,shrubland)and eleven ecosystem service functions(e.g.,food production,raw material supply,water provision).A revised dynamic equivalent factor table was employed,in combination with 30-meter resolution land cover and related datasets.Furthermore,a Bayesian Spatiotemporal Hierarchical Model(BSTHM)was applied to quantify the spatial and temporal patterns of ESV and the influence of so-cio-economic drivers from 2000 to 2020.The results show that the total ESV of the Loess Plateau exhibited an overall increasing trend,with values of 188.556,190.893,192.078,191.784,and 195.487 billion CNY in the five respective years.Spatially,the ESV displayed significant heterogeneity,characterized by a south-east-high to northwest-low pattern.Among the socio-economic driving factors,per capita GDP showed a positive correlation with ESV,whereas population density,gross agricultural output,afforestation area,nighttime light index,highway density,and railway density were negatively correlated.The study proposed"Dynamic Equivalent-Bayesian"coupled framework,targeted policy recommendations are proposed,inclu-ding optimizing ecological restoration models,promoting scientific afforestation,and strengthening land use regulation.

关键词

生态系统服务价值/当量因子法/贝叶斯时空层次模型/黄土高原

Key words

ecosystem service value/equivalent factor method/Bayesian spatio-temporal hierarchical model/Loess Plateau

分类

资源环境

引用本文复制引用

李琳琳,王照利,郭涛,任志祥,闫琰,刘伟国..2000-2020年黄土高原生态系统服务价值的时空变化及驱动因素[J].西北林学院学报,2025,40(5):11-23,13.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划项目(2024YFD2201501) (2024YFD2201501)

国家重点研发计划青年科学家项目(2022YFF1302200) (2022YFF1302200)

省级重点研发计划(202SFYBXM512). (202SFYBXM512)

西北林学院学报

OA北大核心

1001-7461

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