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电网碳减排贡献定量测算方法

张幸 柴玉凤 韩新阳 王旭斌 尹建光 张新圣

中国电力2025,Vol.58Issue(9):175-182,8.
中国电力2025,Vol.58Issue(9):175-182,8.DOI:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202410052

电网碳减排贡献定量测算方法

A Quantitative Calculation Method for Carbon Emission Reduction Contribution of Power Grid

张幸 1柴玉凤 1韩新阳 1王旭斌 1尹建光 2张新圣1

作者信息

  • 1. 国网能源研究院有限公司,北京 102209
  • 2. 国网山东省电力公司电力科学研究院,山东 济南 250003
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The power grid serves as an important platform connecting electricity production and consumption,playing a crucial role in carbon emission reduction across society.However,currently,there is a lack of quantitative research on the power grid's contribution to facilitating carbon emission reductions from grid-connected entities.Based on the contribution allocation concept of the Shapley value method and considering both simplicity and rationality,this paper proposes a method for quantifying the power grid's contribution to the carbon emission reduction of grid-connected entities.The proportion of the power grid's contribution to the carbon emission reduction is determined by the marginal effect of the power grid on the emission reduction and can be calculated through a simplified formula.Through empirical data or theoretical calculation,this study demonstrates the carbon emission reduction of grid-connected entities with and without the power grid,and based on the relative magnitude of emission reduction under these two scenarios,the power grid's contribution to carbon reduction can be categorically discussed.When the presence or absence of the power grid does not affect the carbon emission reduction of grid-connected entities,the power grid's contribution to carbon emission reduction is zero;when the absence of the power grid renders grid-connected entity unable to achieve effective carbon emission reduction,the power grid's contribution is maximized.This method provides a novel approach and perspective for evaluating the power grid's contribution to social carbon emission reduction,offering a theoretical basis for quantifying the power grid's contribution to the low-carbon transition of society.

关键词

电网碳减排/贡献分配/定量测算/Shapley值

Key words

carbon reduction in power grid/contribution allocation/quantitative calculation/Shapley value

引用本文复制引用

张幸,柴玉凤,韩新阳,王旭斌,尹建光,张新圣..电网碳减排贡献定量测算方法[J].中国电力,2025,58(9):175-182,8.

基金项目

国家电网有限公司科技项目(1400-202357340A-1-1-ZN). This work is supported by Science and Technology Project of SGCC(No.1400-202357340A-1-1-ZN). (1400-202357340A-1-1-ZN)

中国电力

OA北大核心

1004-9649

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