北京建筑大学学报2025，Vol.41Issue(4)：30-35,6.DOI:10.19740/j.2096-9872.2025.04.04
城市建筑垃圾产生量多元回归预测
Multiple Regression Prediction of Urban Construction Waste Generation:A Case Study of Beijing
摘要
Abstract
The substantial generation of urban construction waste poses significant challenges in terms of resource depletion and environmental pollution.As urban renewal efforts continue to advance,construction waste volumes are projected to increase steadily.Consequently,accurate prediction of construction waste generation will facilitate enhanced resource utilization and management strategies.However,current research on construction waste management is hindered by a relative scarcity of comprehensive data and in-depth analysis pertaining to urban construction waste generation volumes.To address this gap,a building area-based estimation method to quantify construction waste output in Beijing from 2014 to 2023 is employed.Subsequently,a multiple linear regression model is applied to predict and analyze future waste generation trends.The findings indicate that while construction waste output in Beijing over the next five years will remain substantial,it is expected to stabilize at a relatively consistent level.Based on the analysis,several recommendations are proposed to provide data support and a theoretical foundation for improving construction waste management in Beijing and informing subsequent research.关键词
建筑垃圾/多元线性回归/产生量预测/城市更新Key words
construction waste/multiple linear regression/output prediction/urban renewal分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
秦颖,王祯顺,秦光宇..城市建筑垃圾产生量多元回归预测[J].北京建筑大学学报,2025,41(4):30-35,6.基金项目
教育部人文社会科学研究一般基金项目(24YJAZH115). （24YJAZH115）
