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新疆甜瓜生产格局及其贡献因素分析

李亮亮 夏咏 王福红 郭冰心 赵兰兰

干旱区地理2025,Vol.48Issue(9):1567-1577,11.
干旱区地理2025,Vol.48Issue(9):1567-1577,11.DOI:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.631

新疆甜瓜生产格局及其贡献因素分析

Muskmelon production pattern and its contributing factors in Xinjiang

李亮亮 1夏咏 1王福红 2郭冰心 1赵兰兰1

作者信息

  • 1. 新疆农业大学经济管理学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830052
  • 2. 新疆农业大学经济管理学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830052||兰州财经大学农林经济管理学院,甘肃 兰州 730101
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摘要

Abstract

This study explores the production dynamics and yield growth patterns of muskmelons in Xinjiang,China,to enhance farmers'income in underdeveloped regions and optimize the structure of economic crops.Em-ploying methods such as the gravity center model,standard deviational ellipse,and logarithmic mean Divisia in-dex decomposition,it examines muskmelon production patterns and contributory factors at the county level from 2000 to 2021.The findings are as follows:(1)From 2000 to 2021,muskmelon production in Xinjiang exhibited significant growth,with planting areas and total output following an"M-shaped"fluctuation trend.Yield per unit area peaked in 2015 but subsequently declined,exerting a notable impact on total production changes.(2)The ra-tio of counties with increased production to those with decreased production was 1.39:1.The production gravity center shifted gradually from the southwest to the northeast,highlighting significant spatial distribution changes.(3)Planting area and yield per unit area were the primary drivers of production changes.However,from 2015 to 2021,yield per unit area decline negatively impacted production,with a contribution rate of-124.38%.

关键词

甜瓜/时空格局/贡献因素/新疆

Key words

muskmelon/spatiotemporal pattern/contribution factors/Xinjiang

引用本文复制引用

李亮亮,夏咏,王福红,郭冰心,赵兰兰..新疆甜瓜生产格局及其贡献因素分析[J].干旱区地理,2025,48(9):1567-1577,11.

基金项目

国家社会科学基金项目(24XTJ003) (24XTJ003)

新疆西甜瓜产业技术体系项目(XJARS-06) (XJARS-06)

自治区普通高校人文社科重点研究基地项目(XJEDU2023J004)资助 (XJEDU2023J004)

干旱区地理

OA北大核心

1000-6060

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