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基于前景理论的居民小区负荷日前随机优化调度策略

李恒杰 刘依环 曾贤强 谢兴峰 马喜平

电力系统保护与控制2025,Vol.53Issue(17):67-78,12.
电力系统保护与控制2025,Vol.53Issue(17):67-78,12.DOI:10.19783/j.cnki.pspc.241160

基于前景理论的居民小区负荷日前随机优化调度策略

Day-ahead stochastic optimal scheduling strategy for residential community loads based on prospect theory

李恒杰 1刘依环 1曾贤强 1谢兴峰 1马喜平2

作者信息

  • 1. 兰州理工大学电气工程与信息工程学院,甘肃 兰州 730050
  • 2. 国网甘肃省电力公司电力科学研究院,甘肃 兰州 730070
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

With the continuous increase in residential electricity consumption,the potential for demand-side flexible loads to participate in demand response(DR)has become significant.To address the scheduling challenges of flexible loads in residential communities participating in DR under residents'bounded rationality,an energy usage model of household appliances,a stochastic user behavior model,and a comfort value model are constructed.Combined with relevant residents'travel and weather forecast data,time-of-use pricing,and DR policy information from the grid,a day-ahead stochastic optimal dispatch model is developed based on prospect theory(PT),generating day-ahead scheduling plans.This paper provides reliable data for optimizing dispatch in residential communities and realistically simulates residents'decision-making psychology in DR participation.Finally,the model is validated in a real residential community in Gansu.The results show that the bounded rationality of decision-makers significantly affects the optimal scheduling of residential communities,and that the PT-based day-ahead stochastic load optimization model can maximize overall benefits while ensuring user comfort.

关键词

需求响应/前景理论/居民小区/随机优化/舒适度价值

Key words

demand response/prospect theory/residential community/stochastic optimization/comfort value

引用本文复制引用

李恒杰,刘依环,曾贤强,谢兴峰,马喜平..基于前景理论的居民小区负荷日前随机优化调度策略[J].电力系统保护与控制,2025,53(17):67-78,12.

基金项目

This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52167014). 国家自然科学基金项目资助(52167014) (No.52167014)

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