心理科学进展2025，Vol.33Issue(9)：1472-1482,11.DOI:10.3724/SP.J.1042.2025.1472
牛顿为什么炒股失败?社会性数学归纳推理中双系统的认知神经机制
Why did Newton fail at stock trading:The cognitive neural mechanisms of dual systems in social numerical inductive reasoning
摘要
Abstract
Numerical inductive reasoning in multi-agent interactive contexts reflects bounded rationality.However,it is still unclear how fast intuitive System 1 and slow deliberative System 2 interact under social contexts.Social numerical inductive reasoning refers to situations where individuals must not only induce numerical patterns but also consider how these patterns are modulated by others' decisions in multi-agent interactive social contexts.This project aims to explore the cognitive neural mechanisms of dual systems in numerical inductive reasoning and theory of mind underlying social numerical inductive reasoning,specifically how the two systems interact to adapt to the social environment.By combining behavioral experiments,event-related potentials(ERPs),and functional magnetic resonance imaging(fMRI)techniques,this project will be divided into three parts:firstly,investigating the evidence of the dual systems in non-social numerical inductive reasoning to establish a foundation for understanding the cognitive mechanisms in social tasks;secondly,comprehensively comparing neural mechanisms of dual systems in numerical inductive reasoning between social and non-social contexts,with emphasis on analyzing the collaborative functioning of dual systems during reasoning;and lastly,examining the neural mechanisms in social numerical inductive reasoning under different types of social contexts,exploring the influence of social contexts on reasoning processes and their neural mechanisms.This project will expand the application of dual system theory to explore the cognitive neural mechanism of complexity economy,providing new theoretical perspectives for understanding cognition in multi-agent interactive social contexts,inspiring mathematical education,artificial intelligence,and other practical applications.关键词
复杂经济学/归纳推理/有限理性/双系统Key words
complexity economy/inductive reasoning/bounded rationality/dual system分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
肖风,郑秀辰,肖娜,陈庆飞,武晓菲,张頔..牛顿为什么炒股失败?社会性数学归纳推理中双系统的认知神经机制[J].心理科学进展,2025,33(9):1472-1482,11.基金项目
国家自然科学基金地区项目(32460208). （32460208）
