管理学刊2025，Vol.38Issue(4)：108-121,14.DOI:10.19808/j.cnki.41-1408/F.2025.0040
促进还是抑制
Facilitating or Inhibiting:Urban Contraction and the Development of New Quality Productivity
摘要
Abstract
In the process of China's urban development,the problem of urban shrinkage has gradually come to the fore,shackling the development of new quality productivity and becoming a real problem that needs to be solved urgently.Based on the panel data of 287 prefecture-level cities in China from 2009 to 2021,the impact of urban contraction on the development of new quality productivity is empirically examined.The study found that NQP showed an upward trend nationwide,but the level of NQP development varied significantly between regions.The conclusion that urban contraction significantly inhibits the development of new qualitative productivity still holds when robustness and endogeneity issues are considered.There is an asymmetry in the suppression of new productivity development by urban contraction,with the suppression effect mainly found in the central and western regions,peripheral cities,less educated and resource-based cities,and small-scale cities.Mechanism studies have shown that urban innovation activity,industrial structure upgrading,and resource mismatch are important mechanisms by which urban contraction inhibits new quality productivity.This study helps to clearly grasp the problem of urban contraction affecting the development of new quality productivity,and to respond to the negative impacts of urban contraction in a targeted manner,which is of great practical significance for the effective response to the problem of urban contraction and the development of new quality productivity.关键词
城市收缩/新质生产力/创新活跃度/产业结构升级/资源错配Key words
urban contraction/new quality productivity/innovation activity/industrial structure upgrading/resource mismatch分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
汤凯,刘晓康,王海杰..促进还是抑制[J].管理学刊,2025,38(4):108-121,14.基金项目
河南省教育学科规划重大项目(2021JKZB01) （2021JKZB01）
