电力勘测设计Issue(9)：12-17,33,7.DOI:10.13500/j.dlkcsj.issn1671-9913.2025.09.003
基于LCOE和FIRR协同分析的某山地光伏发电项目经济性评估
Economic Evaluation of a Mountain PV Project Based on LCOE and FIRR Synergistic Analysis
周晓彬1
作者信息
- 1. 中国电力建设工程咨询有限公司,北京 100011
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
The development and construction of mountain photovoltaic(PV)projects have become an effective approach to conserve land resources and promote the sustainable development of PV power generation.However,due to the variability of project boundary conditions,it's required to further research that how to evaluate the economic feasibility of mountain PV projects from a full life-cycle perspective.A 650 MWp mountain PV project is investigated as an example.It creates an integrated economic evaluation system by combining the levelized cost of electricity(LCOE)and the financial internal rate of return(FIRR).The goal is to evaluate the economic characteristics of the project and verify its economic feasibility considering the impact of investment per kilowatt,electricity output,operating costs,and feed-in tariffin order to establish the safety margins that ensure economic feasibility.The results indicate that the LCOE is 0.271 5 CNY/kWh based on a 25-year operational period,which is lower than the given feed-in tariff;The FIRR is 7.61%,which exceeds the benchmark rate.Meanwhile,there are certain safety thresholds corresponding to the project boundary conditions.When investment per kilowatt exceeds by 33.2%,electricity output decreases by 23.9%,operating costs increase 3.48 times,or feed-in tariffdrops by 9.62%,the project will reach its economic safety threshold.It has been proved that the project remains economically feasibility within these safety boundaries and possesses significant development value.关键词
山地光伏/平准化度电成本/财务内部收益率/经济可行性Key words
mountain photovoltaic/LCOE/FIRR/economic feasibility分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
周晓彬..基于LCOE和FIRR协同分析的某山地光伏发电项目经济性评估[J].电力勘测设计,2025,(9):12-17,33,7.
