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基于联合预测框架的鲁棒车辆轨迹预测

徐东伟 刘靥宛则 马潇畅 张彪 陈滨

高技术通讯2025,Vol.35Issue(7):799-812,14.
高技术通讯2025,Vol.35Issue(7):799-812,14.DOI:10.3772/j.issn.1002-0470.2025.07.012

基于联合预测框架的鲁棒车辆轨迹预测

Robust vehicle trajectory prediction based on united prediction framework

徐东伟 1刘靥宛则 2马潇畅 2张彪 3陈滨4

作者信息

  • 1. 浙江工业大学网络安全研究院 杭州 311121
  • 2. 浙江工业大学信息工程学院 杭州 311121
  • 3. 中国物品编码中心 北京 100011
  • 4. 嘉兴市智慧交通重点实验室 嘉兴 314000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To address the vulnerability of existing trajectory prediction methods when handling noisy trajectoriy data,the paper proposed the united spatio-temporal attention network(USTAN)to realize robust vehicle trajectory predic-tion.First,a united prediction framework is proposed:the USTAN consists of a spatio-temporal attention-based ve-hicle trajectory prediction model(STAN)and its student model,the united prediction result is determined by the outputs of both models.Second,a robust compression strategy is used to extract a student model from the STAN.Subsequently,a detection algorithm based on extreme value theory is applied to the identification of harsh noise traj-ectories.Finally,a real roadway dataset,NGSIM US-101 and I-80,is used in the study to validate and evaluate the feasibility of the method.The results of the multiple comparative analysis experiments show that the method has good robustness when using harsh noise trajectories for prediction,with the average displacement error rising by only 32.04%,and effectively identifies the presence of the harsh noise trajectories used.

关键词

智能交通/车辆轨迹预测/鲁棒性/知识蒸馏/剪枝

Key words

intelligent transportation/vehicle trajectory prediction/robustness/knowledge distillation/prun-ing

引用本文复制引用

徐东伟,刘靥宛则,马潇畅,张彪,陈滨..基于联合预测框架的鲁棒车辆轨迹预测[J].高技术通讯,2025,35(7):799-812,14.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(62373325),浙江省自然科学基金(LY21F030016)和嘉兴市智慧交通重点实验室开放课题(ZHJT202302)资助项目. (62373325)

高技术通讯

OA北大核心

1002-0470

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