人民黄河2025，Vol.47Issue(10)：94-100,160,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2025.10.013
山东省黄河流域水资源利用与经济发展脱钩关系研究
Study on the Decoupling Relationship Between Water Resources Utilization and Economic Development in the Yellow River Basin of Shandong Province
摘要
Abstract
In order to quantitatively analyze the decoupling relationship between water resources utilization and economic development in the Yellow River Basin in Shandong Province,based on the relevant statistical data of the Yellow River Basin in Shandong Province from 2012 to 2022,the water footprint theory,Tapio decoupling model and LMDI decomposition model were used to analyze the water resources utilization situation,the decoupling relationship between water resources utilization and economic development and their decoupling factors in the Yellow River Basin in Shandong Province.The results show that the total water footprint of the Yellow River Basin in Shandong Province shows a fluctuating upward trend,with agricultural water footprint accounting for the largest proportion and ecological water footprint growing fastest,and the average per capita water footprint over many years is close to the internationally recognized water shortage line.Water resources main-ly come from internal supply,and the issue of water safety is prominent,and the economic benefits of water footprint continue to grow,with an average annual growth rate of 5.06%;There is a weak decoupling relationship between water resources utilization and economic develop-ment as a whole,between agricultural water use and economic development as a whole,and between industrial water use and economic devel-opment as a whole.The decoupling rate of Jinan is 100%,Jining,Tai'an and Heze is 90%,Zibo and Dezhou is 80%,and Dongying,Li-aocheng and Binzhou are relatively weak.Water use efficiency effect is the main driving factor to promote decoupling,and economic scale effect is always the main factor to inhibit decoupling;The water use efficiency of most prefecture-level cities has a good decoupling relation-ship.Except Dongying's economic scale decoupling decomposition index in 2016 is negative,other prefecture-level cities are positive.关键词
水资源利用/经济发展/脱钩关系/水足迹/Tapio脱钩模型/LMDI分解模型/山东省黄河流域Key words
utilization of water resources/economy development/decoupling relationship/water footprint/Tapio decoupling model/LMDI decomposition model/Yellow River Basin in Shandong Province分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
焦红波,蒋亚,胡亚婷..山东省黄河流域水资源利用与经济发展脱钩关系研究[J].人民黄河,2025,47(10):94-100,160,8.基金项目
河南省专业学位研究生精品教学案例项目(YJS2023AL008) （YJS2023AL008）
河南省哲学社会科学规划年度项目(2022BZX006) （2022BZX006）
