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基于社交媒体大数据的城市洪涝识别与模拟验证

张克寒 梅超 刘家宏 王佳 宋天旭 石虹远

水科学进展2025,Vol.36Issue(4):566-580,15.
水科学进展2025,Vol.36Issue(4):566-580,15.DOI:10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2025.04.003

基于社交媒体大数据的城市洪涝识别与模拟验证

Urban flood identification with simulation validation based on social media big data

张克寒 1梅超 2刘家宏 2王佳 2宋天旭 1石虹远1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国水利水电科学研究院流域水循环与水安全全国重点实验室,北京 100038
  • 2. 中国水利水电科学研究院流域水循环与水安全全国重点实验室,北京 100038||水利部数字孪生流域重点实验室,北京 100038
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摘要

Abstract

The insufficient reliability of conventional monitoring methods under extreme rainfall conditions has resulted in an urgent need for new monitoring methods This study proposes an urban flood identification method that uses crawler technology(BeautifulSoup4)to extract flood-related terms from social media big data.The geographic information of water accumulation points was identified by combining BERT(Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers)and CRF(Conditional Random Field)named entity recognition technology.Considering the extreme rainstorm and flood disaster in Zhengzhou on July 20,2021 as an example,the accuracy of the identification method was verified by comparing it with the spatial distribution of the investigated water accumulation points and the numerical simulation of urban flooding.Results showed that the spatial distribution of the water accumulation points identified based on social media big data was basically consistent with that of the investigated water accumulation points,with a spatial overlap rate of 89.4%.Among the identified water accumulation points with spatial overlap,the proportions of water depths(H)proportions of 30≤H<50,50≤H<100,100≤H<200,200≤H<300 and H≥300 cm were 49.6%,36.8%,8.2%,4.1%and 1.3%,respectively.The simulation results of the 50-year and 100-year design rainfall scenarios,as well as the measured rainfall scenarios on August 1,2019,and July 22,2024,demonstrate the rationality of the identification results in terms of spatial trends.Urban flood monitoring inversion based on social media big data is an important supplement to flood monitoring under extreme conditions and can be used as a crucial data support for validating numerical simulations on urban floods and emergency decision-making during flood disasters.

关键词

城市洪涝模拟/洪涝识别/社交媒体大数据/命名体识别

Key words

urban flood simulation/flood identification/social media big data/named entity recognition

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

张克寒,梅超,刘家宏,王佳,宋天旭,石虹远..基于社交媒体大数据的城市洪涝识别与模拟验证[J].水科学进展,2025,36(4):566-580,15.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3090600 ()

2022YFE0205200)The study is financially supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2022YFC3090600 ()

No.2022YFE0205200). ()

水科学进展

OA北大核心

1001-6791

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