中国渔业经济2025，Vol.43Issue(5)：46-61,16.
全球经济政策不确定性、渔业金融与渔业经济增长
Global economic policy uncertainty,fishery finance and fishery economic growth:dynamic analysis based on TVP-VAR model
摘要
Abstract
Fishery finance is an important part of the rural financial services system.For the past twenty years,the global economy has undergone turbulence and governments across various nations strengthen their macro control policies.Based on the relevant quarterly data from 2003 to 2022,this paper constructs a TVP-VAR model to examine the dynamic time-varying relationship between economic policy uncertainty,fishery finance and fishery economic growth.The results of empirical analysis are as follows.(1)fishery finance and fishery economic growth have a self-reinforcing circular effect that pushes up each other.(2)Economic policy uncertainty has a positive impact on both fishery finance and fishery economic growth.(3)The heterogeneity test finds that formal fishery finance is the main force driving fishery economic growth,while underground fishery finance shows a more limited supporting role.Based on the above conclusions,this paper proposes relevant policy implications for fishery finance to support fishery economic development.关键词
经济政策不确定性/渔业金融/渔业经济增长/TVP-VAR模型Key words
economic policy uncertainty/fishery finance/fishery economic growth/TVP-VAR model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
莫贤锐,廖泽芳,周婧凡..全球经济政策不确定性、渔业金融与渔业经济增长[J].中国渔业经济,2025,43(5):46-61,16.基金项目
本文受广东海洋大学人文社会科学研究项目"政产学研协同创新模式下海洋牧场发展机制研究——基于社会网络分析的视角"(030301092304)和湛江市哲学社会科学规划项目"湛江市政产学研协同创新模式下海洋牧场发展机制研究"(ZJ23YB70)资助. （030301092304）
