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中国水产品出口RCEP国家波动分析

常文韬 陈廷贵

中国渔业经济2025,Vol.43Issue(5):95-107,13.
中国渔业经济2025,Vol.43Issue(5):95-107,13.

中国水产品出口RCEP国家波动分析

Analysis of fluctuations in China's aquatic product exports to RCEP countries:based on CMS model

常文韬 1陈廷贵1

作者信息

  • 1. 上海海洋大学 经济管理学院 上海 201306
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on UnComtrade data from 2002 to 2023,this paper analyzes China's seafood exports to RCEP member countries using the Constant Market Share(CMS)model,and it identifies growth sources and obstacles.For the overall RCEP market,it found that overall competitiveness is a major driver of export growth.Production competitiveness have a restraining effect in the first three phases but improved in the last phase.In differentiating markets by income level,overall competitiveness and growth effects are key in middle-income and high-income countries,while growth and product structure effects are most significant in low-income countries.In the fourth phase,growth effects negatively impact all income levels.

关键词

RCEP/水产品出口/出口波动/CMS模型

Key words

RCEP/export of aquatic products/export fluctuations/CMS model

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

常文韬,陈廷贵..中国水产品出口RCEP国家波动分析[J].中国渔业经济,2025,43(5):95-107,13.

基金项目

本文受国家自然科学基金面上项目"基于可持续生计框架的长江流域禁捕补偿政策绩效评估和优化研究"(721730784)资助. (721730784)

中国渔业经济

1009-590X

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