高师理科学刊2025，Vol.45Issue(9)：31-37,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-9831.2025.09.005
基于熵权法与灰色理论的广东省经济发展水平分析与预测
Analysis and prediction of Guangdong Province's economic development level based on entropy weight method and grey theory
摘要
Abstract
A comprehensive analysis of the economic development of Guangdong Province and the relationship between its various industries and regional GDP was conducted using grey relational analysis,the entropy weight method,and the GM(1,1)model.Grey relational analysis was used to assess the contribution of each industry to the economy of Guangdong Province,the results showed that the tertiary industry,particularly the wholesale and retail industry,transportation,warehousing and postal industry,and financial industry,had the most significant driving effect on economic growth,indicating a shift in Guangdong′s economic structure from a secondary industry-dominated model to a tertiary industry-led one.The entropy weight method was used to calculate the weights of various economic indicators,and the comprehensive scores of Guangdong′s economy from 2015 to 2022 were analyzed.Based on the GM(1,1)model,the comprehensive scores of Guangdong's economy for the period from 2023 to 2027 were forecasted,the results indicated that the future economic growth may slow down,with the comprehensive scores showing a declining trend year by year.In response to this trend,relevant policy recommendations were given to further optimize the economic structure and promote high-quality economic development.关键词
产业结构/经济发展水平/灰色关联分析/熵值法/GM(1,1)模型/广东省Key words
industrial structure/economic development leve/grey relational analysis/entropy weight method/GM(1,1)model/Guangdong Province分类
数理科学引用本文复制引用
王旭坡..基于熵权法与灰色理论的广东省经济发展水平分析与预测[J].高师理科学刊,2025,45(9):31-37,7.基金项目
广东省教育厅自然基金项目(2021KTSCX157)——非自伴向量微分算子的谱及其应用 （2021KTSCX157）
广东理工学院科技项目(2024YBZK001)——基于灰色关联分析的广东省区域经济发展因素研究 （2024YBZK001）
