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次网格地形重力波拖曳对四川东部一次强降水的影响和机理

靳双龙 艾真珍 季玉枝 张蓉蓉 衡志炜 徐昕

南京大学学报(自然科学版)2025,Vol.61Issue(3):425-440,16.
南京大学学报(自然科学版)2025,Vol.61Issue(3):425-440,16.DOI:10.13232/j.cnki.jnju.2025.03.007

次网格地形重力波拖曳对四川东部一次强降水的影响和机理

Impact of subgrid orographic gravity wave drag on a heavy rainfall event in eastern Sichuan Province

靳双龙 1艾真珍 2季玉枝 3张蓉蓉 4衡志炜 5徐昕2

作者信息

  • 1. 可再生能源并网全国重点实验室,中国电力科学研究院有限公司,北京,100192
  • 2. 中尺度灾害性天气教育部重点实验室,南京大学大气科学学院,南京,210023
  • 3. 河北省气象台,石家庄,050021
  • 4. 江苏省气象台,南京,210000
  • 5. 中国气象局成都高原气象研究所,高原与盆地暴雨旱涝灾害四川省重点实验室,成都,610072
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This study analyzed the precipitation characteristics and circulation background of the heavy rainfall event in eastern Sichuan on July 26,2023,using China Meteorological Administration Multi-source Merged Precipitation Analysis System(CMPAS)and ERA5 reanalysis data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.Sensitivity experiments were conducted using the WRF V4.2.2 mesoscale numerical model.The model performance was quantitatively assessed using correlation coefficients(CC),root mean square error(RMSE),and threat score(TS).The study explored the impact and mechanisms of subgrid orographic gravity wave drag(OGWD)on the heavy rainfall event.Additionally,the Barnes filter was applied to perform scale separation of the circulation fields,enabling a detailed analysis of the influence of circulation at different scales on the precipitation process.The results indicate that the WRF model simulates the precipitation area too far eastward,but the inclusion of OGWD significantly improves the precipitation location bias.Orographic gravity wave drag primarily affects the wind field:at mid-to-upper levels of the troposphere,it weakens the northwesterly winds behind the plateau vortex,at lower levels of the troposphere,it weakens the southeasterly winds transporting moisture into the Sichuan Basin,resulting in a reduction of the northerly winds along the northern and western edges of the basin.This change alters the location of the mesoscale convergence zone,thereby improving the precipitation location bias.

关键词

地形重力波拖曳/四川盆地/强降水/数值模拟

Key words

orographic gravity wave drag/Sihuan Basin/heavy rainfall/numerical simulation

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

靳双龙,艾真珍,季玉枝,张蓉蓉,衡志炜,徐昕..次网格地形重力波拖曳对四川东部一次强降水的影响和机理[J].南京大学学报(自然科学版),2025,61(3):425-440,16.

基金项目

国家电网公司总部科技项目(4000-202355453A-3-2-ZN) (4000-202355453A-3-2-ZN)

南京大学学报(自然科学版)

OA北大核心

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