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基于DEMATEL-ISM-BN的水利水电工程质量风险预警研究

鄢俊杰

陕西水利Issue(10):22-25,4.
陕西水利Issue(10):22-25,4.

基于DEMATEL-ISM-BN的水利水电工程质量风险预警研究

Quality Risk Early Warning in Hydraulic and Hydropower Projects Based on DEMATEL-ISM-BN Approach

鄢俊杰1

作者信息

  • 1. 江西省建洪工程监理咨询有限公司,江西南昌 330000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To enhance quality management in hydraulic and hydropower projects,this study introduces a quality risk early warning method based on the integrated DEMATEL-ISM-BN approach.Using the G hydropower project as a case study,a quality risk indicator system was established for different project stages.The DEMATEL method was employed to determine indicator importance and interrelationships,while the ISM method was used to identify hierarchical linkages and causal pathways.The resulting ISM structure was converted into a Bayesian Network(BN)topology,which enabled causal reasoning and prediction of quality risk probabilities.The findings confirm that this method effectively identifies critical quality risk factors and supports proactive quality risk management.

关键词

水利工程/质量影响因素/风险预警/DEMATEL-ISM-BN

Key words

hydraulic engineering/quality risk factors/risk early warning/DEMATEL-ISM-BN

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

鄢俊杰..基于DEMATEL-ISM-BN的水利水电工程质量风险预警研究[J].陕西水利,2025,(10):22-25,4.

陕西水利

1673-9000

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