中国水利Issue(18)：1-11,11.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1123.2025.18.001
数字孪生驱动的水-能-粮-生耦合系统协同治理新范式
A new paradigm for digital twin-driven Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystem(WEFE)nexus collaborative governance
摘要
Abstract
The inland river basins of Northwest China cover 35.9%of the national territory but hold only 5.7%of the country's total water resources.Under the dual pressures of global climate change and high-quality development,the traditional"water-centric"single-element governance model can no longer address the complex challenges of basin mega-systems.Based on the"natural-social"dual water cycle theory and systems engineering principles,this study proposes a digital twin-driven theoretical framework for collaborative governance of the Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystem(WEFE)nexus.The framework innovatively establishes a"technology-management-mechanism"triple governance paradigm,building a digital twin body that integrates physical and virtual basins to form a four-tier architecture of"sensing-computing-service-application"and a closed-loop control mechanism of"perception-cognition-decision-action".This enables fundamental transformations:from"visibility"to"clear understanding",from"post-event analysis"to"predictive assessment",and from"passive response"to"proactive regulation".The theoretical connotation encompasses three core dimensions:nonlinear coupling mechanisms of the WEFE nexus,multi-stakeholder collaborative governance mechanisms,and dynamic adaptive regulation mechanisms.The collaborative governance framework breaks through traditional sectoral fragmentation by establishing a modern governance system featuring government-market-society co-governance,interest coordination,and dynamic adjustment.The technical framework addresses key bottlenecks in multi-source heterogeneous data fusion,multi-scale model coupling,intelligent optimization algorithms,and real-time simulation computing.Through phased implementation pathways and comprehensive policy support,the scientific validity and effectiveness of the framework are demonstrated with the ecological water conveyance practices in the Tarim River Basin since 2000.This study shows that the proposed system can provide systematic solutions to resource and environmental constraints in Northwest China's inland river basins and offer scientific support for the Western Development Strategy and the Belt and Road Initiative water security strategy.关键词
数字孪生/内陆河流域/水-能-粮-生耦合/协同治理/治理现代化/流域治理现代化/系统工程Key words
digital twin/inland river basin/Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystem nexus/collaborative governance/governance modernization/basin governance modernization/systems engineering分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
王浩,孟现勇,丁建丽,杜丙照,李江,刘可欣..数字孪生驱动的水-能-粮-生耦合系统协同治理新范式[J].中国水利,2025,(18):1-11,11.基金项目
新疆维吾尔自治区"天池英才"科技创新领军人才(2024TCLJ01). （2024TCLJ01）
