镇江高专学报2025,Vol.38Issue(4):33-40,8.
数字经济的产业渗透率对CO2排放影响研究
A study on the impact of industrial penetration rate of digital economy on CO2 emissions
摘要
Abstract
Based on the panel data,this thesis uses mathematical models to predict and analyze the impact of industrial penetration rate of the digital economy on CO2 emissions.GM(1,1)model and Markov chain model are applied to predict China's GDP,digital economy scale,and industry scale respectively.With the goal of achieving"carbon peak"in China before 2030,a scenario assumption is established,and the least squares method is applied to establish the correlation between the energy consumption of the non-digital economy penetration part of the industry and the consumption structure of petrochemical energy to calculate the CO2 emissions under different scenarios respectively.The verification results indicate that the adjustment method of the scenario hypothesis H2 given in the thesis can provide an effective reference for China to formulate relevant policies and measures.关键词
数字经济/产业结构/产业渗透率/CO2排放Key words
digital economy/industrial structure/industrial penetration rate/CO2 emission分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
刘睿..数字经济的产业渗透率对CO2排放影响研究[J].镇江高专学报,2025,38(4):33-40,8.基金项目
江苏省高校哲学社会科学研究一般项目(2023SJYB0929) (2023SJYB0929)