北京大学学报（自然科学版）2025，Vol.61Issue(5)：937-946,10.DOI:10.13209/j.0479-8023.2025.060
碳中和视角下基于LCGH模型的河南省地级市低碳绿色高质量发展研究
Research on Low-Carbon,Green and High-Quality Development of Prefecture-Level Cities in Henan Province Based on LCGH Model from the Perspective of Carbon Neutrality
摘要
Abstract
Based on the output and energy consumption data of major industrial products in Henan Province(especially those related to coal),referring to the carbon emission guidelines of the IPCC and combining with multiple linear regression analysis,a carbon emission regression model for Henan Province was constructed.Factor analysis was conducted using SPSS 27.0 software to calculate the scores of high-quality development of prefecture-level cities,and a low-carbon,green and high-quality development model was established to explore the key driving factors affecting the high-quality development of prefecture-level cities.The following results were obtained.1)Carbon emissions in Henan Province mainly come from production,transportation,construction and daily life.The eastern,northern and central regions of Henan are the main carbon sources,while carbon sinks are mainly concentrated in forest land and cultivated land,which makes the carbon sink storage in the western and southern regions of Henan relatively high.2)The level of low-carbon,green and high-quality development in Henan Province is on the rise,with significant spatial differences in the calculated scores.Specifically,Zhengzhou City(253),Nanyang City(53)and Luoyang City(49)rank the top three.3)Zhoukou City has a relatively high score(21)for low-carbon,green and high-quality development,but its total carbon emissions are relatively low(4.28×106 t),and its carbon emissions per unit of energy are relatively high.It belongs to an industrial factor-driven development model.Pingdingshan City has a relatively low score(-25)in low-carbon,green and high-quality development,a high total carbon emission(1.16×107 t),and a high carbon emission per unit of population.It belongs to a development model driven by population factors.4)To promote high-quality regional development and provide a favorable external development environment,Henan Province should optimize the industrial structure,adjust the energy consumption structure,promote balanced regional development,optimize the industrial layout and improve the ecological compensation mechanism.关键词
碳中和/低碳绿色/高质量发展/河南省Key words
carbon neutrality/low-carbon green/high-quality development/Henan Province引用本文复制引用
李丽娟,李双成..碳中和视角下基于LCGH模型的河南省地级市低碳绿色高质量发展研究[J].北京大学学报（自然科学版）,2025,61(5):937-946,10.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(42230506)、云南省科技厅科技计划(202303AC100009)、河南省社科联项目(SKL-2023-2549)、河南省高校人文社会科学项目(2024-ZDJH-771)、河南省重点研发专项(241111520700)和河南理工大学测绘科学与技术"双一流"学科创建项目(GCCYJ202430)资助 （42230506）
