内蒙古电力技术2025，Vol.43Issue(4)：3-10,8.DOI:10.19929/j.cnki.nmgdljs.2025.0043
风光火储自适应SMPC调度策略研究
Research on Adaptive SMPC Scheduling Strategy for Wind-Photovoltaic-Thermal-Storage System
摘要
Abstract
In order to cope with the intermittency and volatility of natural resources such as wind energy and solar energy,improve the new energy consumption rate of the wind-photovoltaic-thermal-storage integrated energy system,and maintain the safe and stable operation of the power grid,a scheduling model of the wind-photovoltaic-thermal-storage integrated energy system is established,and an adaptive stochastic model predictive control(SMPC)scheduling strategy is proposed in this paper.The strategy is mainly composed of four parts:supply and demand prediction model,scenario reduction,rolling optimization and feedback correction.By reasonably reducing initial scenarios and changing the rolling optimization cycle step size in real time,the scheduling accuracy is improved.At the same time,taking a typical day as an example,the advantages and disadvantages of three scheduling strategies,namely adaptive SMPC,model predictive control(MPC)and SMPC are compared and analyzed.The results show that the adaptive SMPC scheduling strategy proposed in this paper can effectively deal with the fluctuation and uncertainty of wind and solar output and load.With this strategy,the scheduling accuracy and speed are high,and the total scheduling cost changes little.关键词
综合能源系统/场景削减/滚动优化/自适应随机模型预测控制/自适应变步长Key words
integrated energy system/scenario reduction/rolling optimization/adaptive stochastic model predictive control(SMPC)/adaptive variable step size分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
秦晓栋,宋瑞军,王安,吕杰,黄浩城,郝静静,邵贤杰..风光火储自适应SMPC调度策略研究[J].内蒙古电力技术,2025,43(4):3-10,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金联合基金项目"与电网友好互动的大规模楼宇群综合能源系统"(U22B20112) （U22B20112）
中国博士后面上基金项目"漂浮式风力机双尾流干涉机理"(2024M750738) （2024M750738）
常州市科技应用基础研究项目"漂浮式风力机风浪双尾流干涉机理研究"(CJ20240095) （CJ20240095）
