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人才引进政策文本分析及政策效应研究:基于H市2000-2020年的数据分析

张蕾 张钊宁 陈一泰 单小波

中国人事科学Issue(9):35-46,12.
中国人事科学Issue(9):35-46,12.

人才引进政策文本分析及政策效应研究:基于H市2000-2020年的数据分析

Textual Analysis and Policy Effects of Talent Recruitment Policies:An Empirical Study Based on H City's Data from Year 2000 to 2020

张蕾 1张钊宁 1陈一泰 1单小波2

作者信息

  • 1. 浙江理工大学经济管理学院
  • 2. 浙江理工大学科技与艺术学院
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This study systematically examines the evolutionary characteristics of talent recruitment policies and their impact on population inflow by analyzing 37 policy documents issued by H City between 2000 and 2020.Methodologies include word frequency analysis,policy tool classification,and vector autoregression(VAR)modeling.The findings reveal:(1)the policies exhibit distinct phase-specific features;(2)policy tools are disproportionately distributed,with a heavy reliance on supply-type tools and a deficiency in demand-type instruments.Empirical analysis using the VAR model demonstrates a Granger causal relationship between H City's talent recruitment policies and the scale of inbound migration.Impulse response analysis indicates that policy effects peak at 2 years,with an actual effective duration of 3-4 years.Recommendations include strengthening demand-type policy tools through market mechanisms,optimizing environmental tools to enhance the talent ecosystem,and implementing systemic supporting policies to prolong policy efficacy.

关键词

人才引进/人才政策分析/政策工具/政策效应

Key words

Talent recruitment/Textual analysis/Policy tools/Policy effects

分类

社会科学

引用本文复制引用

张蕾,张钊宁,陈一泰,单小波..人才引进政策文本分析及政策效应研究:基于H市2000-2020年的数据分析[J].中国人事科学,2025,(9):35-46,12.

基金项目

本文系国家自然科学基金面上项目"区域均衡发展视角下医疗卫生科技人才集聚水平、成因及政策研究"(72174182)和浙江省高校重大人文社科攻关计划项目"浙江省科技人才集聚水平、成因及效应研究"(2021QN059)的阶段性成果. (72174182)

中国人事科学

2096-5761

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