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不同区域集中式光伏电站平价上网经济性分析

高鑫 王驰中 桂芳旭 陈衡 张锴 张国强

发电技术2025,Vol.46Issue(5):930-938,9.
发电技术2025,Vol.46Issue(5):930-938,9.DOI:10.12096/j.2096-4528.pgt.24004

不同区域集中式光伏电站平价上网经济性分析

Economic Analysis of Grid Parity of Centralized Photovoltaic Power Plants in Different Regions

高鑫 1王驰中 1桂芳旭 1陈衡 1张锴 1张国强1

作者信息

  • 1. 华北电力大学能源动力与机械工程学院,北京市 昌平区 102206
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

[Objectives]Based on the background of photovoltaic power generation without policy subsidy parity,the comprehensive analysis of the economic feasibility of grid parity for centralized photovoltaic power stations can provide a reference for economic optimization.[Methods]The process of economic evaluation of centralized photovoltaic power station and the accurate calculation method of critical point are studied,that is,the programming recursive calculation is used to replace the traditional fitting curve method.This paper puts forward the judgment method of whether the photovoltaic power station can be put on the grid at par,that is,whether the feed-in price at the critical point is lower than the regional coal-fired benchmark price.Taking a 65.59 MW centralized photovoltaic power station in Xinjiang as an example,the economic analysis is carried out to verify whether the judgment method is reasonable.[Results]The algorithm enhances the accuracy of critical point calculations.Building upon this,an analysis of the overall situation and cost-effectiveness trends of grid parity in China is conducted.The findings suggest that centralized photovoltaic power stations in China can essentially achieve grid parity,with the central regions exhibiting the best economic benefits.[Conclusions]Using critical point analysis to determine if a power station can achieve grid parity will help assess the station's resilience to risks,assist businesses in making informed decisions to achieve cost reduction and efficiency improvement.

关键词

光伏发电/集中式光伏电站/平价上网/临界点/降本增效/经济效益/经济评价流程

Key words

photovoltaic power generation/centralized photovoltaic power station/grid parity/critical point/cost reduction and efficiency improvement/economic benefit/economic evaluation process

分类

能源科技

引用本文复制引用

高鑫,王驰中,桂芳旭,陈衡,张锴,张国强..不同区域集中式光伏电站平价上网经济性分析[J].发电技术,2025,46(5):930-938,9.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(52276006). Project Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(52276006). (52276006)

发电技术

2096-4528

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