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基于大语言模型的洪涝灾害统计调查

李强 赵铜铁钢

水利水电技术(中英文)2025,Vol.56Issue(9):60-75,16.
水利水电技术(中英文)2025,Vol.56Issue(9):60-75,16.DOI:10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2025.09.005

基于大语言模型的洪涝灾害统计调查

Statistical survey on flood disasters based on large language model

李强 1赵铜铁钢1

作者信息

  • 1. 中山大学水资源与环境研究中心,广东 广州 510275
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

[Objective]The statistical survey on flood disasters is an important basis for regional disaster prevention,reduction and flood risk management under changing environmental conditions.The large language model(LLM)has shown potential in the field of hydraulic engineering.In order to utilize the capabilities of LLMs on semantic understanding and information extraction,the LLM-based method of statistical survey on flood disasters is proposed.All procedures of the statistical survey based on Internet data are completed by the LLM.[Methods]For the flood disasters on 21 July 2012 in Beijing("7·21"),July 2023 in Beijing("23·7"),on June 2022 in Pearl River Basin("22·6")and April 2024 in Southern China("24·4"),the proposed LLM-based method is used to investigate the risk and loss.[Results]The accuracy of the statistical survey is the highest when the temperature of the LLM is 0 and decreases as the temperature increases.For the"7·21"flood disaster,the accuracy of the number of collapsed dwellings,the affected population and the direct economic losses is more than 90%.The proportion of no retrieved result of affected cropland area and peak discharge is more than 40%.For the"23·7"flood disaster,the accuracy is generally higher.The accuracy of the number of collapsed dwellings,the number of deaths and missing persons,the affected population,the affected cropland area and the peak discharge is more than 90%.For the"24·6"flood disaster in the Beijiang river basin,the accuracy of the maximum hourly precipitation,the average precipitation and the peak discharge is 83%,61%and more than 90%.For the"22·4"flood disaster,the accuracy of the peak discharge at Shijiao station is 89%.the proportion of no retrieved result of the peak discharge at Feilaixia reservoir,the maximum hourly precipitation and the average precipitation exceeds 70%.[Conclusion]The LLM is suitable for the statistical survey of flood disasters and can provide data support for the management of flood and drought disasters.

关键词

洪涝灾害/统计调查/大语言模型/互联网数据/信息抽取/气候变化/风险评估/降雨

Key words

flood disaster/statistical survey/large language model/Internet data/information extraction/climate change/risk assessment/rainfall

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

李强,赵铜铁钢..基于大语言模型的洪涝灾害统计调查[J].水利水电技术(中英文),2025,56(9):60-75,16.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFF0804900) (2023YFF0804900)

国家自然科学基金项目(52379033) (52379033)

水利水电技术(中英文)

OA北大核心

1000-0860

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