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全球炼化行业发展最新态势及前景展望

徐海丰 方晨 李昀霏 刘爽

国际石油经济2025,Vol.33Issue(10):15-23,9.
国际石油经济2025,Vol.33Issue(10):15-23,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-7298.2025.10.002

全球炼化行业发展最新态势及前景展望

The newest situation and outlook of global refining and chemical industry development

徐海丰 1方晨 1李昀霏 1刘爽1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国石油集团经济技术研究院
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

At present,the global refining industry continues to undergo restructuring and transition.Asian refining and chemical profits show an"uncommon"sustained decline,chemical sectors in Europe,Japan,and South Korea face intensified shocks,with facilities being shut down in batches.Refining and chemical companies are compelled to adjust and optimize their global investment portfolios and business structures,continuously reduce costs,accelerate scientific and technological innovation,and expedite the expansion into emerging markets.In the future,the oil and chemical products market will experience heightened differentiation.Global refining capacity growth will slow significantly,while chemical capacity expansion and phase-out will proceed in parallel.The Middle East and North America will maintain competitiveness by leveraging their oil and gas resource advantages,whereas emerging markets will continue to attract refining investments and capacity additions.The green and low-carbon transition will persist,driving the industry to accelerate self-adjustment in pursuit of a new market equilibrium.Refining and chemical enterprises will quicken their adaptation to the evolving trends in the global market transformation of refining and chemical products,expedite the realignment of production capacity layout,strive to overcome operational challenges,and achieve sustainable development.

关键词

炼油化工/油品/化工品/成本/利润/绿色低碳/转型

Key words

oil refining and chemical/oil products/chemical products/cost/profits/green and low-carbon/transition

分类

经济学

引用本文复制引用

徐海丰,方晨,李昀霏,刘爽..全球炼化行业发展最新态势及前景展望[J].国际石油经济,2025,33(10):15-23,9.

国际石油经济

1004-7298

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