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中国沿海地区海洋经济韧性动态演化特征及障碍因素分析OA

Analysis of Dynamic Evolution Characteristics and Obstacle Factors of Marine Economic Resilience in China's Coastal Areas

中文摘要英文摘要

海洋经济韧性是海洋经济高质量发展的重要内容.文章在阐述了海洋经济韧性内涵的基础之上,构建了 3 个维度的动态评价指标体系对海洋经济韧性水平进行测度,将 2008 年国际金融危机冲击后的时期分为 3 个阶段,运用熵权TOPSIS模型测度了我国 11 个沿海省(自治区、直辖市)的海洋经济韧性动态演变过程,使用障碍度模型分析了各地区海洋经济韧性提高的阻碍因素并划分阻碍类型,提出差异化建议.结果表明:2008-2020 年,我国海洋经济韧性水平不断提升,分维度来看,抵御能力、恢复能力和转型更新能力波动上升,其中恢复能力和转型更新能力上升幅度较大.海洋经济韧性的空间格局较稳定,中高韧性地区逐渐向我国东南沿海地区集中,低韧性地区分布格局无明显变化;三大海洋经济圈的内部差异呈扩大趋势,这种差异主要来源于北部海洋经济圈和南部海洋经济圈.转型更新能力是制约我国大部分沿海地区海洋经济韧性提高的主要障碍因素,针对不同类型的障碍地区应采取差异化的政策.

Marine economic resilience is an important part of the high-quality development of the marine economy,based on the theoretical exposition of marine economic resilience,this paper constructs a three-dimensional dynamic evaluation index system to evaluate the resilience level of the marine economy.This paper divides the period after the impact of the global financial cri-sis in 2008 into three stages,uses the entropy weight TOPSIS model to evaluate the dynamic e-volution process of marine economic resilience across China's 11 coastal provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities,analyzes the obstacles to the improvement of marine economic resili-ence in various regions by using the obstacle degree model,divides the types of obstacles,and puts forward differentiated suggestions.The research results are as follows:From 2008 to 2020,China's marine economic resilience demonstrated continuous improvement.A dimensional analysis shows fluctuating upward trends in resistance capacity,recovery capacity,and trans-formative renewal capacity,with the latter two exhibiting more substantial growth.The spatial pattern of marine economic resilience remained relatively stable.Medium-high resilience regions progressively concentrated in southeastern coastal areas,while the distribution of low-resilience regions showed no significant changes.Divergence within the three major marine economic circles exhibited an expanding trend,primarily driven by disparities between the northern and southern marine economic circles.Transformative renewal capacity emerged as the primary con-straining factor limiting resilience enhancement in most coastal regions.Targeted policy inter-ventions should be implemented according to distinct obstacle typologies across different re-gions.

刘曙光;刘宇童

中国海洋大学经济学院 青岛 266100||中国海洋大学海洋发展研究院 青岛 266100中国海洋大学经济学院 青岛 266100

经济学

海洋经济韧性时间演变空间演变障碍因素

Marine economyResilienceTemporal evolutionSpatial evolutionObstacles fac-tors

《海洋开发与管理》 2025 (5)

107-120,14

国家社会科学基金重大项目(18VSJ067)中国工程科技发展战略山东研究院咨询研究项目"山东与日韩科技合作战略研究"(202002SDZD02).

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