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以伊冲突背景下伊朗的情报失误:表象、原因与启示

魏宸宇 李宇辰

情报杂志2025,Vol.44Issue(11):1-8,8.
情报杂志2025,Vol.44Issue(11):1-8,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-1965.2025.11.001

以伊冲突背景下伊朗的情报失误:表象、原因与启示

Iran's Intelligence Failure in the Context of the Israel-Iran Conflict:Manifestations,Causes and Implications

魏宸宇 1李宇辰2

作者信息

  • 1. 西安交通大学马克思主义学院 西安 710000
  • 2. 西安交通大学航天航空学院 西安 710000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

[Research purpose]In this round of the Iran-Israel conflict,Iran's intelligence agency suffered a historic defeat.Summarizing the manifestations of its failure,analyzing the reasons for its failure,and drawing lessons from its failure can provide beneficial ideas for the subsequent smooth development of China's intelligence work.[Research method]Starting from the superficial manifestations of Iran's intelligence failure,the key features of intelligence failure are summarized,including the targeted elimination of high-level officials,the systematic infiltration of state organs,the precise strikes on military targets and nuclear facilities,as well as the defeat in public opinion battles and the shaking of psychological defenses.[Research result/conclusion]The factors contributing to the failure of Iran's intelli-gence agency are diverse.The adverse changes in the external environment,the overlapping of intelligence agencies,the dualistic opposi-tion within the national system,as well as economic and ethnic issues,all jointly led to the failure of Iran's intelligence system.

关键词

以伊冲突/情报失误/情报战/定点清除/机构重叠/情报技术

Key words

the Israel-Iran conflict/intelligence failure/intelligence warfare/fixed-point removal/institutional overlap/intelligence technology

分类

政治法律

引用本文复制引用

魏宸宇,李宇辰..以伊冲突背景下伊朗的情报失误:表象、原因与启示[J].情报杂志,2025,44(11):1-8,8.

情报杂志

OA北大核心

1002-1965

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