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引发浙江短时强降水的后向传播型中尺度对流系统特征研究

桑明慧 舒守娟 李文娟 沈晓玲

气象学报2025,Vol.83Issue(5):1152-1168,17.
气象学报2025,Vol.83Issue(5):1152-1168,17.DOI:10.11676/qxxb2025.20240126

引发浙江短时强降水的后向传播型中尺度对流系统特征研究

Characteristics of a back-building mesoscale convective system causing short-duration heavy rainfall in Zhejiang province

桑明慧 1舒守娟 2李文娟 3沈晓玲4

作者信息

  • 1. 绍兴市气象防灾减灾中心,绍兴,312000||绍兴市相控阵阵列天气雷达技术与应用重点实验室,绍兴,312000
  • 2. 浙江大学地球科学学院大气科学系,杭州,310058
  • 3. 浙江省气象台,杭州,310051
  • 4. 绍兴市相控阵阵列天气雷达技术与应用重点实验室,绍兴,312000||绍兴市气象台,绍兴,312000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Back-building MCSs(Mesoscale Convective Systems)are highly conductive to sudden,localized short-duration heavy rainfall.In order to reveal the characteristics of this type of MCS and its association with heavy rainfall,this study systematically studies spatial and temporal distribution of back-building MCSs that triggered short-duration heavy rainfall during the warm seasons from 2015 to 2021 in Zhejiang province.Different organizational forms and environmental thermodynamic factors of different types are also explored.The results show that back-building MCSs in Zhejiang province exhibit significant monthly and diurnal variation patterns,i.e.,MCSs mainly occur in June and July with peak hourly rainfall intensities of 30 and 50 mm in these two months,respectively.The MCS primarily form between 11:00 and 14:00 BT,with the highest frequency of formation occurring between 12:00 and 13:00 BT.The majority of MCSs have a duration of 12 h or less,with 10 h duration being the most common.The start time of backward propagation shows a quasi-bimodal pattern,which is 2-3 h later than the main formation time of the MCS.For 90%of the cases,the time of maximum hourly rainfall intensity occur within 0-2.5 h after the onset of the backward propagation.Based on the evolution characteristics of convective system organization,the back-building MCSs with short-duration heavy rainfall in Zhejiang province can be categorized into four types:Advective,quasi-stationary,turning,and propagating MCS,with about 42%occuring under the forcing of weak synoptic-scale system.The MCS usually occurs in an environment with medium convective available potential energy(CAPE),high humidity and appropriate vertical wind shear,but with different environmental factors for different types.The quasi-stationary MCSs account for the largest proportion(44.7%)and are characterized by significant environmental dynamic features,including strong atmospheric instability,large steering flow,and mid-to-lower-level vertical wind shear.They result in relatively weak maximum hourly rainfall intensity(the median is 50 mm/h).Propagating MCSs(accounting for about 17%)exhibit more distinct environmental thermodynamic characteristics with large CAPE and precipitable water(PW),and lead to the strongest maximum hourly rainfall intensity(the median is 70 mm/h).

关键词

后向传播/短时强降水/中尺度对流系统

Key words

Back-building/Short-duration heavy rainfall/MCS

分类

大气科学

引用本文复制引用

桑明慧,舒守娟,李文娟,沈晓玲..引发浙江短时强降水的后向传播型中尺度对流系统特征研究[J].气象学报,2025,83(5):1152-1168,17.

基金项目

浙江省自然科学基金联合基金重大项目(LZJMD23D050001)、国家自然科学基金项目(42375001)、杭州城市气象联合实验室重点项目(SYSZD202506). (LZJMD23D050001)

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