人民黄河2025，Vol.47Issue(11)：55-59,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2025.11.008
基于未确知-集对耦合的黄河内蒙古段凌灾风险评估
Ice Flood Disaster Risk Assessment of the Inner Mongolia Section of the Yellow River Based on Unascertained-SPA Method
摘要
Abstract
In view of the issue of information deficiency caused by the uncertainty and complexity of the risk factors of ice flood disasters,the unascertained measure theory was employed to convert the uncertain information into a comprehensive evaluation measure vector with relative-ly certain information.Subsequently,combined with the set pair analysis method capable of handling the relationship between certainty and uncertainty,an ice flood disaster risk assessment model based on the unascertained set pair method was established,thereby achieving the risk assessment of ice flood disasters in the Inner Mongolia section of the Yellow River.The results indicate that Togtoh County belongs to a low-risk area,Jungar Banner belongs to a high-risk area,and Qingshuihe County belongs to a medium-risk area.The evaluation results are basically consistent with the actual dangerous situations in each region,providing a new method and scientific and technological support for the risk assessment of ice flood disasters in the Inner Mongolia section of the Yellow River.关键词
凌汛灾害/风险评估/未确知测度/集对分析/黄河内蒙古段Key words
ice flood disaster/risk assessment/unascertained measure/set pair analysis/Inner Mongolia reach of Yellow River分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
邓宇,蒋璐,王娟..基于未确知-集对耦合的黄河内蒙古段凌灾风险评估[J].人民黄河,2025,47(11):55-59,5.基金项目
国家自然科学基金联合基金项目(U23A2012) （U23A2012）
黄河水利科学研究院基本科研业务费专项(HKY-JBYW-2022-08,HKY-JBYW-2023-05) （HKY-JBYW-2022-08,HKY-JBYW-2023-05）
