人民珠江2025，Vol.46Issue(10)：73-83,11.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2025.10.009
基于非支配排序遗传算法的苏北地区水资源多目标优化配置方案
Multi-objective Adaptive Regulation of Water Resources in Northern Jiangsu Region Based on Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm
摘要
Abstract
To enhance the adaptability and resilience of regional water resources and support sustainable socio-economic development,this study proposes a multi-objective adaptive regulation model for water resource allocation in Northern Jiangsu,integrating water supply,ecological conservation,and economic considerations.Using hydrological data from 1980 to 2023,three typical years(extremely dry,dry,and normal years)were selected to analyze water demand and shortage rates under different scenarios.The results show that water supply reliability in Northern Jiangsu exceeds 90%under all demand scenarios,indicating a dynamic equilibrium.A comparative analysis between 2022 and 2035 reveals that in extremely dry years,the regional water shortage rate decreased from 9.4%to 5.0%;in dry years,the shortage rate slightly decreased from 4.3%to 4.0%;in normal years,it declined marginally from 1.6%to 1.4%.Notably,terminal cities in the water network(e.g.,Lianyungang,Yancheng)experienced higher shortage rates(6%～7%),indicating ongoing water security risks during extreme droughts,despite the overall adequacy of water supply.These findings provide valuable insights for the scientific planning and efficient utilization of water resources in Northern Jiangsu.关键词
水资源配置/非支配排序遗传算法/多目标优化/碳排放/投影寻踪/苏北地区Key words
water resource allocation/non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm/multi-objective optimization/carbon emission/projection pursuit/Northern Jiangsu region分类
水利科学引用本文复制引用
陈霞,王昱璋,方瑞,周强,郑子沁,张游,周毅,董增川..基于非支配排序遗传算法的苏北地区水资源多目标优化配置方案[J].人民珠江,2025,46(10):73-83,11.基金项目
江苏省水利科技基金(2023027) （2023027）
