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山东省能源转型政策演进及协同效应研究

徐小峰 林若唯 张宇 姜明月

中国石油大学学报(社会科学版)2025,Vol.41Issue(5):11-21,11.
中国石油大学学报(社会科学版)2025,Vol.41Issue(5):11-21,11.DOI:10.13216/j.cnki.upcjess.2025.05.0002

山东省能源转型政策演进及协同效应研究

The Policies Evolution and Synergistic Effects on Energy Transition of Shandong Province

徐小峰 1林若唯 1张宇 1姜明月2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国石油大学(华东)经济管理学院,山东 青岛 266580
  • 2. 山东省创新发展研究院,山东 济南 252000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The implementation of energy policies to address climate change can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and protect the ecological environment.As a large carbon emission province,Shandong Province's energy policy deployment and energy transition planning program deserve attention.In this paper,we analyze the historical evolution trend of energy policies in Shandong Province,clarify the focus of future energy transition policies,and explore the coupling effect and collaboration mechanism among different energy policies.The results show that the marginal cost of carbon reduction under the synergistic policy scenario is significantly lower than that under the single policy scenario.Benefiting from the consistency of policy objectives,the complementarity of policy instruments and the similarity of policy environments,there are obvious synergies between electrification and renewable energy development policies,carbon pricing and renewable energy development policies,and energy efficiency improvement and carbon pricing policies.Compared with the independent implementation of the above policies,the average annual marginal carbon cost of energy transition is reduced by 28.87%,23.35%,and 27.84%,respectively,when they are implemented in combination.In the future,Shandong Province should deploy en-ergy policies that focus on energy efficiency and carbon pricing in the early stage of the energy transition;deploy more in-depth electrifi-cation and introduce CCS in the middle stage of the energy transition;and focus on electrification and carbon pricing in the late stage of the energy transition,while combining renewable energy substitution and CCS.

关键词

能源转型/政策协同/山东省/EnergyPLAN

Key words

energy transition/policy synergy/Shandong Province/EnergyPLAN

分类

经济学

引用本文复制引用

徐小峰,林若唯,张宇,姜明月..山东省能源转型政策演进及协同效应研究[J].中国石油大学学报(社会科学版),2025,41(5):11-21,11.

基金项目

山东省社会科学规划重点项目(22BJJJ05) (22BJJJ05)

中国石油大学学报(社会科学版)

1673-5595

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