电力需求侧管理2025，Vol.27Issue(6)：17-22,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1009-1831.2025.06.003
基于系统动力学的工业园区零碳转型可行性评估模型
Feasibility evaluation model of zero carbon transformation in industrial parks based on system dynamics
摘要
Abstract
Feasibility assessment of zero carbon transformation in parks is an important basis for promoting the development of zero carbon parks.Considering that whether the park can achieve zero carbon transformation depends on the comprehensive effects of factors such as the park's GDP,fossil energy consumption intensity,new energy power generation,and carbon reduction technology investment,a feasibil-ity assessment model for zero-carbon transformation of industrial parks based on system dynamics is proposed.The model consists of four modules:fuel combustion and production process carbon emissions,sewage treatment carbon emissions,purchased power carbon emis-sions,and carbon sinks and CCUS technology carbon reduction.The simulation results show that the model can predict the specific time for the park to achieve zero carbon transformation under the influence of multiple factors,and provide guidance for the configuration of emission reduction strategies.关键词
零碳园区/系统动力学/碳排放/碳减排Key words
zero carbon park/system dynamics/carbon emission/carbon reduction分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
牛文娟,徐筝,薛贵元,陈琛,诸晓骏,吴垠,王鑫,肖人杰..基于系统动力学的工业园区零碳转型可行性评估模型[J].电力需求侧管理,2025,27(6):17-22,6.基金项目
国网江苏省电力有限公司科技项目资助(J2024008) （J2024008）
