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计及多元不确定性的虚拟电厂竞价策略

杨轩 曹晓庆 程少靖 杨振华 吴恒

电力需求侧管理2025,Vol.27Issue(6):112-117,6.
电力需求侧管理2025,Vol.27Issue(6):112-117,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1009-1831.2025.06.017

计及多元不确定性的虚拟电厂竞价策略

Bidding strategies of virtual power plants considering diverse uncertainties

杨轩 1曹晓庆 1程少靖 1杨振华 1吴恒2

作者信息

  • 1. 武汉华源电力设计院有限公司,武汉 430000
  • 2. 江苏智臻能源科技有限公司,南京 210000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Virtual power plant(VPP),as an aggregated energy system,is faced with a difficult problem that the uncertain wind power and solar power and the random charging behavior of electric vehicles affect its economy.Therefore,a virtual power plant bidding strategy that takes into account diverse un-certainties is proposed,which can improve the absorption capacity of renewable energy and in-crease the in-come level.Firstly,the particle swarm optimization(PSO)-long term memory(LSTM)algorithm is used to convert the wind power and EV charging demand into deterministic scenarios based on the real data and the charging capacity boundaries.Then,considering the uncer-tainty of group loads of renewable energy and electric vehicles,a bidding strategy model of virtual power plant is established based on the output deviation variables and the Cournot game.Finally,a numerical example is given to verify the effective-ness of the proposed model.

关键词

虚拟电厂/不确定性/竞价策略/古诺博弈

Key words

virtual power plant/uncertainty/bidding strategy/Cournot game

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

杨轩,曹晓庆,程少靖,杨振华,吴恒..计及多元不确定性的虚拟电厂竞价策略[J].电力需求侧管理,2025,27(6):112-117,6.

基金项目

国家电网公司科技项目(5400-202318574A-3-2-ZN) (5400-202318574A-3-2-ZN)

电力需求侧管理

1009-1831

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