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基于组合赋权与改进云模型的航空装备风险评估方法

廖乃智 涂继亮 刘辉 赖国超 邓泽平

火力与指挥控制2025,Vol.50Issue(10):72-80,9.
火力与指挥控制2025,Vol.50Issue(10):72-80,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-0640.2025.10.009

基于组合赋权与改进云模型的航空装备风险评估方法

Research on Risk Assessment Method of Aviation Equipment Based on Combined Empowerment and Improved Cloud Model

廖乃智 1涂继亮 1刘辉 1赖国超 1邓泽平1

作者信息

  • 1. 南昌航空大学信息工程学院,南昌 330063
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To assess the faults risk of aviation equipment and to reduce the randomness and ambiguity in risk assessment,a risk assessment method for aviation equipment with improved cloud model is proposed.First,experts construct fault trees based on historical fault data and experience,calculate the subjective and objective weights using AHP and CRITIC method respectively,and fuse them to obtain the comprehensive weights;Then,combined with the cloud model,the parameters of the fault event sub-cloud are calculated,and for the calculation of the established algorithm about the cloud model synthesis does not consider the influence of the data dispersion degree on the entropy and super-entropy,additional adjustment coefficients are added to the calculation of the entropy and super-entropy synthesis of the cloud model,which makes the evaluation results more fully describe the dispersion of the data and better meet the reality.Finally,the validity of the model was verified with a risk assessment of a take off warning system for a certain type of aircraft.

关键词

AHP/CRITIC/改进云模型/航空装备/故障风险评估

Key words

AHP/CRITIC/improved cloud model/aviation equipment/faults risk assessment

引用本文复制引用

廖乃智,涂继亮,刘辉,赖国超,邓泽平..基于组合赋权与改进云模型的航空装备风险评估方法[J].火力与指挥控制,2025,50(10):72-80,9.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(72261027) (72261027)

校级研究生创新专项基金资助项目(YC2023-026) (YC2023-026)

火力与指挥控制

OA北大核心

1002-0640

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