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海河流域"25·7"区域性大洪水降雨背景分析及启示

李修仓 李威 周星妍 洪海旭 高辉 孙林海

中国防汛抗旱2025,Vol.35Issue(11):1-5,11,6.
中国防汛抗旱2025,Vol.35Issue(11):1-5,11,6.DOI:10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2025510

海河流域"25·7"区域性大洪水降雨背景分析及启示

Analysis of the rainfall background and implications of the"25·7"regional major flood in the Haihe River Basin

李修仓 1李威 1周星妍 1洪海旭 1高辉 1孙林海1

作者信息

  • 1. 国家气候中心,北京 100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

From July 24 to 29,2025,due to continuous heavy rainfall,many rivers such as Chaobai River,Luanhe River and Daqinghe River experienced heavy rains and floods,which triggered the"25·7"regional major flood of the Haihe River Basin.The intense rainfall process was characterized by its high extremity,large cumulative precipitation,extensive impact area,concentrated heavy rainfall zone,and long duration,being particularly notable for the extremity of daily rainfall amounts and the vast area affected.Causality analysis indicates that the abnormally stable Western Pacific Subtropical High and its interaction with northward-moving typhoons,which created abundant water vapor transport,served as the key circulation background.This event occurred within the climatic context of the northward expansion of the summer rain belt in China,revealing a new characteristic of increased frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation in North China.In the face of escalating risks of frequent and severe extreme weather events in the future,it is recommended to systematically enhance the comprehensive flood disaster prevention and response capabilities of the Haihe River Basin by strengthening watershed monitoring,improving inter-departmental emergency coordination,applying risk census results,reviewing flood control standards,and raising public awareness of disaster prevention.

关键词

海河流域/降雨气候背景/"25·7"区域性大洪水

Key words

Haihe River Basin/rainfall background/"25·7"regional major flood

分类

大气科学

引用本文复制引用

李修仓,李威,周星妍,洪海旭,高辉,孙林海..海河流域"25·7"区域性大洪水降雨背景分析及启示[J].中国防汛抗旱,2025,35(11):1-5,11,6.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFC3006601) (2023YFC3006601)

中国气象局气候变化专项(QBZJ202509). (QBZJ202509)

中国防汛抗旱

1673-9264

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