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基于麻雀搜索算法的核极限学习机在PM2.5浓度预测中的应用

叶凡 王松 王志多 周闯 李素文 牟福生

大气与环境光学学报2025,Vol.20Issue(6):766-776,11.
大气与环境光学学报2025,Vol.20Issue(6):766-776,11.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1673-6141.2025.06.007

基于麻雀搜索算法的核极限学习机在PM2.5浓度预测中的应用

Application of kernel extreme learning machine based on sparrow search algorithm in PM2.5 concentration prediction

叶凡 1王松 1王志多 1周闯 1李素文 1牟福生1

作者信息

  • 1. 淮北师范大学,污染物敏感材料与环境修复安徽省重点实验室,安徽 淮北,235000
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摘要

Abstract

PM2.5 concentration is an important indicator for assessing ambient air quality,so accurately predicting the change trend of PM2.5 concentration will help to formulate more effective environmental protection measures.In the paper,the Sparrow Search Algorithm(SSA)is employed to determine the optimal values of regularization function and kernel function parameters of Kernel Extreme Learning Machine(KELM),thereby constructing the SSA-KELM model,and then the improved SSA-KELM model is utilized to predict PM2.5 concentration.Based on the air pollutants and meteorological data of Hefei City,Anhui Province,China,this study firstly uses Pearson coefficient to evaluate the correlation between other factors and PM2.5 concentration,then uses stepwise regression method to screen out the factors with high correlation with PM2.5 concentration to input into the SSA-KELM model,and finially achieves the prediction of the daily average concentration of PM2.5 using the SSA-KELM model.According to the prediction results,the SSA-KELM prediction model exhibits superior performance in accuracy and generalization ability,with a mean square reduced to 0.909 and a fitting degree of 0.998,indicating that the constructed SSA-KELM prediction model has good prediction ability for the change trend of PM2.5 daily average concentration.

关键词

麻雀搜索算法/核极限学习机/PM2.5/预测/逐步回归

Key words

sparrow search algorithm/kernel extreme learning machine/PM2.5/prediction/stepwise regression

分类

环境科学

引用本文复制引用

叶凡,王松,王志多,周闯,李素文,牟福生..基于麻雀搜索算法的核极限学习机在PM2.5浓度预测中的应用[J].大气与环境光学学报,2025,20(6):766-776,11.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(41875040,41705012),安徽省高等学校创新团队项目(2023AH010003) (41875040,41705012)

大气与环境光学学报

1673-6141

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