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融合自适应RBF模型和多模态优化重要抽样的小失效概率可靠性分析方法

张屹尚 张煜 杨旭锋

电子科技大学学报2025,Vol.54Issue(6):840-849,10.
电子科技大学学报2025,Vol.54Issue(6):840-849,10.DOI:10.12178/1001-0548.2024322

融合自适应RBF模型和多模态优化重要抽样的小失效概率可靠性分析方法

Reliability analysis method with small failure probability incorporated adaptive RBF model and multimodal optimization importance sampling

张屹尚 1张煜 2杨旭锋2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国航发商用航空发动机有限责任公司 上海 200241
  • 2. 西南交通大学机械工程学院 成都 610031
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The purpose of structural reliability analysis is to estimate the failure probability of a structure under the action of multiple uncertainties,and traditional methods such as finite element analysis are very time-consuming in performing reliability analysis.To address this problem a new active learning(AL)method for structural reliability analysis that combines a radial basis function(RBF)model and an important sampling(IS)technique based on multimodal optimization is proposed,aiming at estimating small failure probabilities efficiently and accurately.The method uses the RBF model to build a metamodel of the true performance function based on the design of experiments(DoE),obtains the surrogate limit state surface(LSS),and then adopts the evolutionary multi-objective optimization-based multimodal optimization(EMO-MMO)method to acquire the most probable point(MPP)on the surrogate LSS,and builds an instrumental probability density functions(iPDF)based on the weight of each MPP.Finally,new training points are continuously added according to the convergence criterion to make the RBF model sufficiently accurate,and the structural failure probability is solved using the last trained RBF model.The verification results compared with classical reliability analysis and a complex engineering example show that the AL-RBF-IS method can significantly reduce the number of required training points and computing time while guaranteeing the accuracy,especially performing well when dealing with small failure probability problems.

关键词

可靠性分析/小失效概率/重要抽样/多模态优化/RBF模型

Key words

reliability analysis/small failure probability/importance sampling/multimodal optimization/RBF model

引用本文复制引用

张屹尚,张煜,杨旭锋..融合自适应RBF模型和多模态优化重要抽样的小失效概率可靠性分析方法[J].电子科技大学学报,2025,54(6):840-849,10.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金面上项目(52475168) (52475168)

电子科技大学学报

OA北大核心

1001-0548

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