中国动物检疫2025,Vol.42Issue(11):31-37,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1005-944X.2025.11.006
基于DEMATEL-ISM法分析规模养猪场疫病防控生物安全因素
Biosecurity Factors Analysis on Animal Disease Prevention and Control in Intensive Swine Farms Based on DEMATEL-ISM Method
摘要
Abstract
Biosafety factors in animal disease prevention and control on farms were systematically analyzed using decision-making and trial evaluation laboratory(DEMATEL)-interpretative structural modeling(ISM),supplemented by Wuli-Shili-Renli(WSR)system approach.Influence,susceptibility,centrality and causality of each factor was quantified by the DEMATEL to identify key causal factors,and a multi-level hierarchical structural model was constructed using the ISM to reveal hierarchical relationships and risk transmission pathways among the factors.The results showed that the basic biosafety conditions of farms were directly affected by economic factors that were identified as the fundamental cause with the highest influence(f>1)in disease control system,and located at the lowest level of the ISM structure and free from other factors,through transmitting risk via three pathways including physical environment,farming model and legislation.Factors such as infrastructure,farming model and government support presented high centrality,serving as core levers for systemic prevention and control;while personnel quality,operational behaviors and other surface factors acted as the direct triggers for disease outbreaks,despite of their low centrality,which should be monitored as a priority.Following recommendations on multi-tiered response were proposed based on a three-tiered risk chain,namely,"economic-transmission-behavior":increasing inputs to improve physical environment and equipment,taking economic factors as a root;strengthening infrastructure and institutional safeguards,supported by core middle-level factors;and reducing human-induced risks through training and standardized operation,focusing on surface-level behavioral factors.In the study,the applicability of the DEMATEL-ISM in animal disease prevention and control system was validated,providing a theoretical basis and a practical approach for constructing a biosafety system along the whole chain encompassing"root-level inputs-middle-level support-surface-level control",and improving the systematicity and effectiveness of disease control strategies..关键词
动物疫病防控/DEMATEL/ISM模型/生物安全因素Key words
animal disease prevention and control/DEMATEL/ISM model/biosafety factor分类
畜牧业引用本文复制引用
潘延乐,武启繁,胡晓亮,张守聪,陈铭,陈泓宇,雷明霞,尹华江..基于DEMATEL-ISM法分析规模养猪场疫病防控生物安全因素[J].中国动物检疫,2025,42(11):31-37,7.基金项目
2020年四川省"天府万人计划"天府农业大师项目 ()