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新质生产力与旅游产业耦合协调度测度及其驱动因素研究

梁振民 任思宇

中国人口·资源与环境2025,Vol.35Issue(8):175-184,10.
中国人口·资源与环境2025,Vol.35Issue(8):175-184,10.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20250702

新质生产力与旅游产业耦合协调度测度及其驱动因素研究

Measurement and driving factors of the coupling coordination degree between China's new quality productive forces and tourism industry

梁振民 1任思宇2

作者信息

  • 1. 上海对外经贸大学会展与传播学院,上海 201620
  • 2. 上海对外经贸大学国际经贸学院,上海 201620
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Focusing on China's 31 provincial-level administrative divisions(not covering Hong Kong,Macao,and Taiwan),this study constructed an evaluation index system for China's new quality productive forces and tourism industry,used a coupling coordination model to measure the coupling coordination degree between them,and determined their coupled and coordinated development trend based on the measurement results.An exploratory spatial data analysis method was adopted to conduct a spatial autocorrelation analysis on the coupling coordination degree of these administrative units in China.Geographic detector technology was used to identify the driv-ing factors affecting the evolution of the coupling coordination degree.The results showed that:① The measurement results of the na-tional average and the coupling coordination degree of each province mainly presented a mild and moderate imbalance state.② The spatial differentiation characteristics at the regional level showed a distinct stepped distribution pattern of"higher in the east and lower in the west."At the provincial level,the eastern coastal provinces were in a high-level coupled and coordinated state,while the central and western border provinces were in a low-level coupled and coordinated state.However,some provinces in the eastern region and the core provinces in the central and western regions were also in a low-level coupled and coordinated state.③ In terms of spatial autocorre-lation,the provinces in the"high-high"agglomeration area and the"low-low"agglomeration area were relatively fixed,indicating that there was a significant proximity correlation effect between the provinces with a higher degree of coupling coordination and those with a lower degree of coupling coordination.④ In terms of driving factors,the supporting role of high-tech industries,the improvement of the social security system,and the continuous upgrading of mobile Internet,energy conservation and emission reduction,and clean energy technologies had a significant impact on promoting the coupled and coordinated development of new productive forces and the tourism industry.

关键词

旅游产业/新质生产力/耦合协调性/驱动因素

Key words

tourism industry/new quality productive forces/coupling coordination/driving factor

分类

经济学

引用本文复制引用

梁振民,任思宇..新质生产力与旅游产业耦合协调度测度及其驱动因素研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2025,35(8):175-184,10.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金青年项目"'全球—地方'视角下风险投资网络演化机理与创新效应研究:以长三角地区为例"(批准号:42301196). (批准号:42301196)

中国人口·资源与环境

OA北大核心

1002-2104

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