中国农业资源与区划2025，Vol.46Issue(10)：92-106,15.DOI:10.7621/cjarrp.1005-9121.20251009
京津冀地区农业减污降碳增效协同:时空演变及影响因素研究
SYNERGY OF AGRICULTURAL POLLUTION REDUCTION AND CARBON REDUCTION IN BEIJING-TIANJIN-HEBEI REGION:TEMPORAL AND SPATIAL EVOLUTION AND INFLUENCING FACTORS
摘要
Abstract
It's an inevitable choice for promoting synergy of agricultural pollution reduction,carbon reduction and efficiency enhancement in new stage of China's agricultural green transformation.Agriculture,as an important industry in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,it is of great significance to analyze the synergy of agricultural pollution reduction,carbon reduction and efficiency improvement and its deep influencing mechanism for the balanced industrial development and regional cooperation.Based on the panel data in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2000 to 2022,this research integrated pollution reduction,carbon reduction and industrial development innovatively.And it utilized the coupling coordination degree model,spatial error model,and spatial lag model to empirically analyze the synergy of agricultural pollution reduction,carbon reduction and efficiency improvement,as well as its impact mechanism.The results indicated that:(1)From 2000 to 2022,both agricultural non-point source pollution and agricultural carbon emissions showed a trend of slow growth followed by a rapid decline,and agricultural output value demonstrated a trend of gradual increase followed by a sharp surge,suggesting that agricultural development was shifting from an extensive development model characterized by high pollution,high carbon emissions and high yield to a synergistic model of pollution reduction and carbon reduction and efficiency enhancement in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.(2)The coupling synergy of agricultural pollution reduction and carbon reduction showed an increasing trend.From the spatial perspective,there was an obvious spatial agglomeration of the coupling coordination degree.From the temporal perspective,the coupling degree and coupling coordination degree exhibited a"step-like"growth trend.(3)The level of financial support for agriculture,innovation and technological development had a negative impact on the synergy of agricultural pollution reduction and carbon reduction.While,the overall level of industrial development,crop planting structure and agricultural investment intensity had a positive promoting effect.Therefore,based on the research results,there is potential for improvement in the synergy of agricultural pollution reduction and carbon reduction in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.Each region should adapt to local conditions and enhance regional cooperation to promote the efficient development of agricultural synergy and emission reduction.关键词
农业减污降碳/增效协同/耦合协调度模型/京津冀地区/空间计量模型Key words
agricultural pollution reduction and carbon reduction/synergy/coupling coordination model/Bei-jing-Tianjin-Hebei region/spatial econometric model分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
赵宸,崔姹,王明利..京津冀地区农业减污降碳增效协同:时空演变及影响因素研究[J].中国农业资源与区划,2025,46(10):92-106,15.基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目"大食物观下饲料粮供给安全政策调控效应及优化研究"(23BGL187) （23BGL187）
