铁道科学与工程学报2025，Vol.22Issue(11)：4834-4844,11.DOI:10.19713/j.cnki.43-1423/u.T20250200
出行者对空铁联运方式的选择行为分析
Analysis of passenger choice behavior in air-rail intermodal travel
摘要
Abstract
To measure the psychological perceptions of air-rail intermodal travelers and enhance the prediction accuracy and interpretability,this study considered safety,punctuality,convenience,and reliability as the psychological perception variables influencing passenger choice of air-rail intermodal travel.Based on Structural Equation Modeling theory and Random Utility Theory,a SEM-MNL(Structural Equation Model-Multinomial Logit)hybrid choice model was constructed by integrating travel scenario variables,individual attribute variables,and psychological perception variables.This model was compared with a traditional Multinomial Logit(MNL)model that excluded latent variables for travel modes.A parameter calibration method for the hybrid model was designed.Finally,to further verify the effectiveness of the model,an empirical analysis was conducted using RP&SP(Revealed Preference&Stated Preference)survey data from Chongqing.Results show that the hybrid model can improve goodness-of-fit by 8.68%compared to the traditional MNL model.Gender can exhibit a significant positive preference coefficient of 0.89 among individual attributes,while travel distance has the highest positive coefficient(1.82)among scenario variables.All four psychological latent variables can significantly influence mode choice,with convenience(coefficient:2.75)being the most impactful,followed by punctuality(0.42),safety(0.40),and reliability(0.63).Recommendations include enhancing transfer efficiency between rail hubs/airports,optimizing schedule coordination between railways and airlines,and improving ticketing integration to boost air-rail intermodal attractiveness.关键词
综合交通/SEM-MNL模型/空铁联运/出行方式选择/心理潜变量Key words
combined transport/SEM-MNL model/air-rail intermodal travel/travel mode choice/psychological latent variable分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
陈坚,杨春楠,高建杰,陈越,马新露..出行者对空铁联运方式的选择行为分析[J].铁道科学与工程学报,2025,22(11):4834-4844,11.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(52472339) （52472339）
智能警务四川省重点实验室开放课题(ZNJW2024KFMS007) （ZNJW2024KFMS007）
城市轨道交通车辆与智能运维重庆市重点实验室开放基金资助项目(CKLURTSIC-KFKT-24003) （CKLURTSIC-KFKT-24003）
重庆市交通科技项目(CQJT-CZKJ2024-05) （CQJT-CZKJ2024-05）
